{"id":"W4387740092","doi":"10.1080/10242694.2023.2269520","title":"International Transmission of Fiscal News Shock: Evidence from Defense Spending","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Defence and Peace Economics","topic":"Defense, Military, and Policy Studies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Employment and Social Development Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Shock (circulatory); Fiscal policy; Granger causality; Government spending; Monetary economics; Macroeconomics; Econometrics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001104013,0.0002601562,0.0003502126,0.001343664,0.0008774658,0.001885782,0.0004319561,0.0004266512,0.004944414],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0147074,0.0001718999,0.000312704,0.002455829,0.0008747156,0.0008273701,0.0009975638,0.001201631,0.0003782506],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002857584,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.003726863,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.6032184,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.3552983,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9992737,0.0001712049,0.00003681609,0.00008628781,0.0002016504,0.0002303634],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9900239,0.003616205,0.003628348,0.0005665438,0.001577655,0.0005873396],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001017676,0.0001885094,0.9053055,0.0001857541,0.0005697133,0.0008136015,0.00237009,0.009162643,0.000967785,0.02708746,0.007691291,0.04464002],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002019657,0.0002111989,0.9503446,0.0001904812,0.000709682,0.0003078798,0.006233289,0.01505924,0.002546157,0.006384739,0.01770259,0.0001081234],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9607075,0.001130137,0.001460459,0.002688125,0.00004712953,0.00004164426,0.002334667,0.00006066494,0.03152963],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9972697,0.0007148579,0.0001345415,0.0001003034,0.00002207429,0.000004683887,0.0006526066,0.00000943648,0.001091718],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.6032184,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.7982367,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.07873923715233061,"score_gpt":0.2720643303356159,"score_spread":0.1933250931832853,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}