{"id":"W4388015148","doi":"10.18280/ijsdp.181032","title":"Scenario Modeling for Sustainable Development in Dynamic Environments","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"International Journal of Sustainable Development and Planning","topic":"Complex Systems and Decision Making","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Sustainable development; Environmental planning; Environmental resource management; Environmental science; Computer science; Business; Political science","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002631679,0.001288575,0.0008656803,0.002128259,0.001165317,0.003416005,0.001933381,0.002200113,0.009146313],"category_scores_gemma":[0.005844882,0.0006100581,0.002208087,0.002785806,0.00182902,0.003480041,0.002901313,0.002451704,0.001041638],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002435302,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002544913,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.008865245,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.007725205,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9976069,0.001706751,0.00012517,0.0001929655,0.0002557195,0.0001124774],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9974673,0.001919439,0.0001846744,0.0001439623,0.0001604794,0.0001240803],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001862894,0.00003040052,0.0004436724,0.0001971424,0.0000709022,0.0001798755,0.0003961983,0.4224966,0.0003465558,0.5633368,0.001867926,0.01061534],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001437676,0.00002683563,0.0002043969,0.0001840196,0.00003306257,0.00008937159,0.0002922298,0.5921367,0.0001912343,0.3779855,0.02880677,0.00003552262],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.004530009,0.001383747,0.9633658,0.00159728,0.0001691343,0.0002086209,0.0005146716,0.0002736303,0.02795706],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.3533286,0.006047091,0.6240693,0.0005144652,0.0003306145,0.001631436,0.001520449,0.0002986846,0.01225943],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.009146313,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03059745,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0864315787711594,"score_gpt":0.3683583582532024,"score_spread":0.281926779482043,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}