{"id":"W4388274022","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.4577059","title":"Expected Profit of Fixed Price Policy Decays Exponentially in the Lead Time","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Supply Chain and Inventory Management","field":"Business, Management and Accounting","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Queen's University; McGill University","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Lead (geology); Econometrics; Exponential growth; Profit (economics); Lead time; Microeconomics; Physics; Operations management; Geology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.007927172,0.0017839,0.003469797,0.002300193,0.001199102,0.005164462,0.003669283,0.005377878,0.01429349],"category_scores_gemma":[0.08540308,0.00201362,0.001699248,0.0019218,0.004341151,0.01173612,0.002169021,0.006480896,0.003020521],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00365371,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.003373175,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002736117,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001757311,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9970754,0.0006336276,0.00008120811,0.0005361454,0.0006082912,0.001065281],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9223121,0.06251048,0.005577961,0.003360607,0.004003463,0.002235291],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.002162249,0.0006422773,0.009274933,0.001570643,0.0003719145,0.001527854,0.0007184571,0.4537943,0.01162074,0.4443743,0.01790207,0.05604033],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001427311,0.0003031323,0.004454166,0.0002237312,0.0001923784,0.00105411,0.0003219998,0.7578527,0.003089073,0.2301798,0.002025984,0.0001603526],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.4555637,0.006389185,0.4379931,0.01176234,0.001125865,0.0001837272,0.001928172,0.006005984,0.07904792],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.965736,0.00201484,0.007367289,0.0007552148,0.0003968116,0.0001027882,0.0003619926,0.0005631688,0.02270195],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01429349,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04781651,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01464085485483041,"score_gpt":0.2342225888245397,"score_spread":0.2195817339697093,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}