{"id":"W4388732045","doi":"10.1017/s1365100523000548","title":"Monetary policy and economic fluctuations","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Macroeconomic Dynamics","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":5,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Calgary","funders":"","keywords":"Monetary policy; Economics; Taylor rule; Leverage (statistics); Monetary economics; Interest rate; Credit channel; Inflation targeting; Autoregressive model; Business cycle; Macroeconomics; Econometrics; Central bank; Computer science","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0005445579,0.0002975305,0.0005567261,0.0008698158,0.0002403044,0.0001670907,0.0003261098,0.0001575064,0.0007245299],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00006637788,0.0004045032,0.0001534816,0.0001813878,0.000163322,0.0004936863,0.0001906318,0.0001784922,0.01467543],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0006756983,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00005230144,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003976008,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0006646136,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9977301,0.00001467116,0.000859981,0.0006779098,0.00001503213,0.0007022787],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9987827,0.0001169165,0.0003032998,0.0005509049,0.000003889382,0.0002422955],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002369792,0.00002787617,0.0738521,0.00004186967,0.0002220363,0.000008120534,0.0005979894,0.03563819,0.000008324605,0.8749289,0.008003171,0.006647751],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0006071329,0.00003906631,0.08896466,0.000004725609,0.00000764877,0.00002856168,0.00009207226,0.7343645,0.000004511103,0.1448156,0.03058978,0.0004817024],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9470474,0.0002940215,0.000493613,0.0050287,0.0006718214,0.0002753242,0.001718953,0.0002678841,0.0442023],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9890298,0.0008596359,0.0003848067,0.0007757594,0.0004893109,0.00003892128,0.0003511453,0.00007097382,0.007999613],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.7301133,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9998407,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02804588267329586,"score_gpt":0.2369142431963749,"score_spread":0.2088683605230791,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}