{"id":"W4388841286","doi":"10.3386/w31872","title":"A Model of Behavioral Manipulation","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"report","venue":"National Bureau of Economic Research","topic":"Ethics and Social Impacts of AI","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":7,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Toronto","funders":"Sid W. Richardson Foundation; Smith Richardson Foundation; National Science Foundation","keywords":"Behavioral modeling; Psychology; Computer science; Artificial intelligence","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01380222,0.0001019056,0.0003552121,0.0006570814,0.0003024866,0.0000690098,0.0004615514,0.0006822878,0.000192575],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002699277,0.0001177955,0.0001875808,0.0002360497,0.0006907714,0.0002447681,0.0001160967,0.0006704791,0.00005688829],"about_ca_system_candidate":true,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001824378,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.01532736,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.06365661,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01915173,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9955348,0.0002251254,0.0005791807,0.000258406,0.003066335,0.0003361709],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9930197,0.0008973263,0.0003690395,0.000158484,0.005445235,0.0001102184],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0000155467,0.00007748677,0.000418336,0.00009222721,0.00006156828,8.183283e-7,0.003056061,0.00182098,0.00007349976,0.9474058,0.04624234,0.0007353786],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001321629,0.00005807882,0.0003350509,0.0000963947,0.00001466129,1.85004e-7,0.000948515,0.001818263,0.0000300703,0.9926634,0.003766641,0.000136568],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.01304906,0.00008606819,0.000003638101,0.002146861,0.0005103882,0.0004385377,0.0001941591,0.00002306783,0.9835482],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9628878,0.001921825,0.0001290996,0.000007229448,0.0007950036,0.0000257362,0.0002127932,0.00003215255,0.03398839],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.9498387,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9987462,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.8875044323509858,"score_gpt":0.6889433525144467,"score_spread":0.198561079836539,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}