{"id":"W4389352810","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.4655085","title":"Counterfactuals of the Effect of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions and Vaccination on Coronavirus Disease 2019 (Covid-19) Outcomes in Canada. What Could Have Happened?","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"COVID-19 Clinical Research Studies","field":"Medicine","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Public Health Agency of Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Coronavirus; 2019-20 coronavirus outbreak; Vaccination; Pandemic; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2); Counterfactual conditional; Medicine; Virology; Psychological intervention; Disease; Infectious disease (medical specialty); Psychology; Outbreak; Counterfactual thinking; Internal medicine","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.02746514,0.001069051,0.002502992,0.000804315,0.00116049,0.003757707,0.003658779,0.003638599,0.01150645],"category_scores_gemma":[0.05409433,0.0007491326,0.004393648,0.002052722,0.003679093,0.00142651,0.001827293,0.005695761,0.0006836216],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.01607809,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.02175986,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.8990448,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.7541561,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9792651,0.0104445,0.001405776,0.003168766,0.001895859,0.003820019],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9457593,0.03064609,0.01106777,0.005899,0.004234463,0.002393379],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.06739414,0.001539533,0.6530122,0.002652324,0.03569506,0.001333798,0.00174153,0.03684216,0.001450529,0.07910461,0.07899,0.04024415],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.02039851,0.003925032,0.7577241,0.001411272,0.03815899,0.0004842995,0.003411257,0.09518212,0.0043364,0.02660146,0.04770952,0.0006571311],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8100063,0.01988206,0.007756639,0.03311265,0.003689081,0.001597118,0.1088294,0.00070277,0.01442404],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.983064,0.001265059,0.001440134,0.002161539,0.0002708395,0.0002444221,0.006800551,0.00003631233,0.004717113],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1009552,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2030994,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.06974280534824581,"score_gpt":0.4812009144970384,"score_spread":0.4114581091487926,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}