{"id":"W4389486457","doi":"10.1002/esp.5750","title":"The 1870s Saskatchewan River avulsion: Ice jam or open water flood? A probabilistic approach for cold climate river avulsions","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Earth Surface Processes and Landforms","topic":"Hydrology and Sediment Transport Processes","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Guelph","funders":"Dalhousie University; Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; University of Nebraska-Lincoln","keywords":"Avulsion; Flooding (psychology); Flood myth; Hydrology (agriculture); Geology; Environmental science; Physical geography; Geography; Geomorphology; Geotechnical engineering","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["sts"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007406984,0.000260199,0.0002762365,0.00002056962,0.001444053,0.0001800262,0.0005482585,0.0001362028,0.0004307751],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00004695944,0.0001196664,0.0000471361,0.0003953348,0.0005008181,0.000566443,0.0003758283,0.0001739184,0.0002336873],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00001243265,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00005815311,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.000179343,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001878652,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9981346,0.00002859682,0.000272871,0.0005554,0.0002611786,0.0007473954],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9992576,0.000208532,0.0000732917,0.000260232,0.00003949416,0.0001608037],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.01093915,0.003305722,0.667695,0.01171643,0.001070409,0.0002513569,0.1177028,0.1119373,0.01168143,0.001263661,0.03629505,0.02614165],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.008183194,0.001855226,0.03144012,0.0002390517,0.0004135047,0.0000757661,0.006109791,0.02597993,0.02588257,0.005643201,0.8918923,0.002285411],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9947116,0.0001772155,0.0005155953,0.0008281289,0.000121108,0.001704536,0.00008831365,0.0001554102,0.001698029],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9786339,0.0006403486,0.001847245,0.0003171075,0.00003687546,0.0003015518,0.0001468188,0.00003226577,0.01804382],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.8555972,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9998559,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0169739099133583,"score_gpt":0.2395242105914475,"score_spread":0.2225503006780892,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}