{"id":"W4389829632","doi":"10.1029/2023gl105200","title":"Historical Shifts in Seasonality and Timing of Extreme Precipitation","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Geophysical Research Letters","topic":"Climate variability and models","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":21,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Saskatchewan","funders":"HORIZON EUROPE Framework Programme; European Commission","keywords":"Climatology; Precipitation; Seasonality; Flash flood; Climate change; Natural hazard; Environmental science; Geography; Meteorology; Ecology; Flood myth; Geology; Biology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003845017,0.00008700344,0.00009245675,0.0007168914,0.00009264464,0.0002504268,0.00007823523,0.0001059353,0.0005871718],"category_scores_gemma":[0.000781164,0.00004932001,0.0001495729,0.0008239967,0.0001202842,0.0002184536,0.0001756709,0.000121307,0.0001373381],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001239358,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00005113198,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001736194,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002556289,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9999006,0.00001910913,0.00001153894,0.00003181199,0.00002264248,0.00001425314],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9996189,0.00008726266,0.0001421646,0.00003890149,0.00007770336,0.00003505674],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00007181013,0.00001106601,0.980057,0.00002821646,0.0001123522,0.00007516262,0.0001435917,0.005854955,0.002318246,0.0002567028,0.0004791711,0.01059171],"study_design_scores_gemma":[8.50039e-7,0.00001772364,0.9966562,0.0000031812,0.000007832424,0.000065508,0.00004466913,0.002188611,0.0002976518,0.00006733282,0.0006473371,0.000003180745],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9977818,0.000104151,0.0003844596,0.00001392277,0.000004342171,0.000001312101,0.001173593,0.00001056838,0.0005257726],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9989497,0.00003299971,0.0001119362,0.000001778559,0.0000031393,0.000001287843,0.0008364584,0.000001390102,0.00006138124],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.001736194,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.003452241,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1356808995031217,"score_gpt":0.3409361903081105,"score_spread":0.2052552908049887,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}