{"id":"W4389885316","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-3749696/v1","title":"Do Petroleum Price Asymmetries and Price Deregulation Cause Business Cycles in Ghana?","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"Research Square","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Ghana National Petroleum Corporation","keywords":"Economics; Oil price; Deregulation; Distributed lag; Quarter (Canadian coin); Context (archaeology); Price of stability; Petroleum; Monetary economics; Business cycle; Investment (military); Foreign direct investment; Macroeconomics; Economic stability; Financial economics; Econometrics; Monetary policy; Politics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002639855,0.000094412,0.0002293155,0.0004278174,0.0001475486,0.0007778254,0.0001308621,0.0002522197,0.00280852],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001997712,0.00009630883,0.0001448447,0.001101807,0.000375657,0.000615101,0.0003088742,0.0003556223,0.0001510062],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000686157,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0005045246,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02066783,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01693752,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998844,0.00003007492,0.000008612174,0.00002208793,0.00002260103,0.00003227042],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9981208,0.0005170192,0.001099745,0.00003576308,0.0001260394,0.0001005772],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002077298,0.00005919213,0.97623,0.0000783037,0.00007776357,0.001402852,0.0006902305,0.00334094,0.001343659,0.003826716,0.0008548101,0.01188778],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001415491,0.00005406448,0.9801483,0.00003607676,0.00005488106,0.0003185653,0.002714502,0.009380008,0.0007702877,0.003454891,0.003045069,0.000009271147],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9968064,0.0004138729,0.0001745372,0.00093553,0.000005544346,0.000002983242,0.0002136441,0.000003491164,0.00144405],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9995576,0.0001982499,0.00002429156,0.0000152053,0.000006136435,4.756714e-7,0.00005209378,8.596473e-7,0.0001451881],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02066783,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04109502,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1031605702206142,"score_gpt":0.3433551279534013,"score_spread":0.2401945577327871,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}