{"id":"W4390051679","doi":"10.1287/opre.2021.0351","title":"Endogenous Credit, Business Cycle, and Portfolio Selection","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Operations Research","topic":"Economic theories and models","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":11,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Calgary","funders":"","keywords":"Business cycle; Economics; Profitability index; Portfolio; Monetary economics; Investment (military); Credit crunch; Financial economics; Finance; Macroeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001198517,0.00007007701,0.0001493137,0.000476087,0.0005560071,0.0002262535,0.0001196262,0.0000652133,0.0005913842],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001801679,0.00008219787,0.00002276022,0.0008833323,0.00008473724,0.0002796352,0.0001001326,0.0001561422,0.001421855],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00006871772,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00005427904,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001570569,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0003007613,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9990314,0.00002376766,0.0002658342,0.0003118185,0.0000365664,0.0003305618],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9995305,0.00005323913,0.00001853677,0.0001926962,0.0001284011,0.00007661089],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000009937903,0.00004077905,0.003482578,0.00001703537,0.00002752384,0.000006174876,0.0005365602,0.01049206,0.0005094243,0.9774318,0.005890017,0.001556089],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001696914,0.0002733023,0.06767669,0.00002973855,0.000007623008,0.0001236169,0.001303545,0.3534722,0.0009595258,0.2285804,0.3449852,0.0008913297],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9175782,0.000482373,0.001389781,0.001573232,0.0002821108,0.0003261038,0.0001250276,0.00008948628,0.07815364],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9860315,0.001134429,0.000266572,0.0000327977,0.0002256868,0.0000952832,0.00004951338,0.00002078035,0.01214342],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.7488514,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9993557,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1568151769212795,"score_gpt":0.3184605202046245,"score_spread":0.161645343283345,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}