{"id":"W4391040167","doi":"10.31410/eman.2023.87","title":"Rebalancing Portfolios in Periods of Stress in the Global Economy: Capital Markets vs. WTI, XAU, XAG, XPT","year":2023,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"International Scientific Conference EMAN. Economics & Management: How to Cope With Disrupted Times","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Oil price; Portfolio; Economics; Capital (architecture); Capital market; West Texas Intermediate; Monetary economics; Financial economics; Finance; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001884038,0.0002875593,0.000493756,0.0008204347,0.0001208643,0.0009304921,0.001303784,0.00008013369,0.001058185],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00008435299,0.0002846558,0.0001000648,0.001051157,0.0001919858,0.0005960012,0.0004166519,0.00016589,0.0001658855],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003966513,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00008641748,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0004610853,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.004476638,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9974591,0.00004466614,0.0008929604,0.0009733208,0.0001130835,0.0005168847],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9985502,0.0000818675,0.0004733888,0.0006775521,0.0001134558,0.000103479],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002052643,0.0002257278,0.6108965,0.0001090485,0.000184585,0.0000567591,0.001575257,0.001257553,0.000001235098,0.3780246,0.002204508,0.005259037],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001229831,0.00005409237,0.7427171,0.0001683901,0.00001405004,0.000006163119,0.002426421,0.1724116,0.000007758909,0.04541268,0.03497884,0.0005729975],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8498072,0.00003952586,0.0003038249,0.004443842,0.0007127468,0.0007242247,0.000761508,0.00003139921,0.1431757],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9935254,0.0000847668,0.0002286392,0.0001616657,0.00003925417,0.0001221139,0.0002846917,0.00001923409,0.005534254],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3326119,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999605,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0147657131234576,"score_gpt":0.2323739971014933,"score_spread":0.2176082839780357,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}