{"id":"W4391126973","doi":"10.5194/egusphere-2023-3084","title":"On the predictability of turbulent fluxes from land: PLUMBER2 MIP experimental description and preliminary results","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"","topic":"Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":9,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Calgary","funders":"National Cancer Institute; Climate Extremes; Australian Research Council; National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration; Nederlandse Organisatie voor Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek; National Research Foundation of Korea; Australian Government; Netherlands eScience Center; National Center for Atmospheric Research; National Computational Infrastructure; National Aeronautics and Space Administration","keywords":"Predictability; Turbulence; Environmental science; Meteorology; Climatology; Econometrics; Atmospheric sciences; Geography; Geology; Mathematics; Statistics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001310422,0.0006264222,0.0003495485,0.0003542929,0.0004380592,0.000612926,0.0004160788,0.0002759681,0.0007780215],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002031318,0.0001298846,0.0003473855,0.0005358962,0.0003769689,0.0006708647,0.0004853239,0.0005109446,0.0001563472],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003868837,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003119379,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.007690915,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.004309563,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9996324,0.0001356206,0.00001992452,0.00008148176,0.00008113709,0.00004943878],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.998635,0.0007867488,0.000107659,0.0002053218,0.0001717299,0.00009350954],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.002824527,0.002963523,0.1963754,0.0002875619,0.0002968757,0.0004035038,0.0005355199,0.6337703,0.074579,0.0053951,0.004212188,0.07835649],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001375248,0.0008746084,0.07454164,0.000009543193,0.00004554679,0.00003838227,0.0001624471,0.8791373,0.04251232,0.001334661,0.001141648,0.0000643134],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9911644,0.00005827765,0.0051924,0.00006061743,0.00000876271,0.00004948017,0.001478928,0.0003184595,0.001668776],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9906024,0.00003747469,0.006019338,0.00001543215,0.00000997661,0.00007191343,0.002914578,0.0000736389,0.000255328],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.007690915,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01529229,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01221752686128752,"score_gpt":0.2108463179589156,"score_spread":0.1986287910976281,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}