{"id":"W4391248988","doi":"10.1073/pnas.2313708120","title":"The probability of epidemic burnout in the stochastic SIR model with vital dynamics","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences","topic":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":19,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"McMaster University","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; Government of Canada","keywords":"Burnout; Dynamics (music); Epidemic model; Psychology; Econometrics; Medicine; Mathematics; Environmental health; Clinical psychology; Population","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaresearch"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.008302017,0.0001153563,0.0002519083,0.00006675375,0.0002163797,0.00002299813,0.001159985,0.0000677502,0.000001178424],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01286626,0.00004258512,0.00009517677,0.0008793878,0.002108381,0.0001945152,0.0002302739,0.0003206047,2.920348e-7],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001065666,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00006694512,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00001252711,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000003276876,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9978755,0.00002953753,0.0005557633,0.0002584112,0.001089177,0.0001916272],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9923267,0.007037054,0.0003866762,0.00001971825,0.0002134124,0.00001638711],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002460525,0.00005946729,0.003374201,0.0002937303,0.00002422366,6.556919e-9,0.0008443405,0.00999974,0.0009850524,0.9837846,0.0003568776,0.0002532054],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00004632887,0.0000423932,0.00494544,0.0001664052,0.00001613998,0.000002553883,0.0004023426,0.2315148,0.0002160917,0.7625946,0.000007589184,0.00004531054],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9623067,0.0004098763,0.0004493023,0.03438574,0.00001567944,0.0006699441,0.00002763102,0.00002146999,0.001713696],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9972007,0.00002066228,0.002481973,0.0001831751,0.00002529715,0.00004197611,4.195352e-8,0.000003519659,0.00004263914],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2215151,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9954488,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.203786669722902,"score_gpt":0.4159777921640911,"score_spread":0.212191122441189,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}