{"id":"W4391431197","doi":"10.1007/978-3-031-49088-0_14","title":"Forecasting Ice-Cover Formation and Freeze-Up Ice-Jam Flooding","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"book-chapter","venue":"","topic":"Arctic and Antarctic ice dynamics","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Global Institute for Water Security; University of Saskatchewan","funders":"","keywords":"Ice formation; Flooding (psychology); Cover (algebra); Geology; Meteorology; Climatology; Geography; Atmospheric sciences; Engineering; Psychology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002003456,0.0003904672,0.0003353412,0.0006698613,0.0001435457,0.0006374788,0.0004472734,0.0005372203,0.002862819],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001109819,0.0002508467,0.0002094699,0.0006805381,0.0001157718,0.0007410439,0.0002663333,0.0003211771,0.0006783753],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0005574023,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000292929,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02750878,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0462296,"domain_scores_codex":[0.999954,0.000008813572,0.000002004885,0.00001283804,0.00001182781,0.00001051658],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9997533,0.0001541708,0.00002270665,0.000007734409,0.00003721868,0.00002479566],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00009546534,0.00006188468,0.04830053,0.00003525669,0.00002838701,0.0001418828,0.00003538958,0.8399197,0.0008053525,0.001869274,0.009145902,0.09956095],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000003339138,0.00001084709,0.01042708,0.000006448971,0.000005200216,0.00001248248,0.00003775933,0.987638,0.0002150013,0.001014678,0.0006253199,0.00000385399],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.842793,0.001781043,0.08998476,0.00106571,0.0003018521,0.00008560209,0.005578549,0.0009023882,0.05750712],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9781857,0.0005540535,0.01068775,0.00003726743,0.00009499751,0.00002020479,0.00214062,0.00004742057,0.008231949],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02750878,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.05469728,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02504506287955254,"score_gpt":0.1983635003261818,"score_spread":0.1733184374466292,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}