{"id":"W4391785858","doi":"10.7554/elife.91849","title":"Antigenic drift and subtype interference shape A(H3N2) epidemic dynamics in the United States","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"eLife","topic":"Influenza Virus Research Studies","field":"Medicine","cited_by":15,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Institute of Infection and Immunity; Fogarty International Center; National Institute of General Medical Sciences; Department of Health and Aged Care, Australian Government; Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare; Wellcome Trust; Francis Crick Institute; National Institutes of Health; Cancer Research UK; Howard Hughes Medical Institute; National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases; Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention","keywords":"Dynamics (music); Biology; Interference (communication); Virology; Evolutionary biology; Physics; Computer science; Telecommunications","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0005914256,0.0001478574,0.0001606838,0.0003175957,0.0002122517,0.0003588836,0.0001406448,0.0002071244,0.0005550277],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001488616,0.0001269739,0.0002428739,0.0003367529,0.0001816024,0.0003105898,0.0002861796,0.0002266514,0.0001081543],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003363716,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000304431,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0252818,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0475014,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998357,0.00005947837,0.000008243139,0.00004499895,0.00002072645,0.00003080602],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9996021,0.0001016597,0.0001639112,0.0000366073,0.0000548356,0.00004081403],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001228164,0.00003665187,0.9755293,0.0000118753,0.000108629,0.0000508099,0.0002179779,0.0042967,0.003171345,0.0002884463,0.0004599468,0.01570566],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00000491002,0.00002835017,0.9858844,0.000008279423,0.00003353365,0.00005062633,0.0002756256,0.01275649,0.0002953085,0.0003295703,0.0003274237,0.00000552219],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.998805,0.0001829167,0.0004157654,0.00007604393,0.000001964295,0.000002100311,0.0001064724,0.000006860905,0.000402971],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9992858,0.000137361,0.00032888,0.0000325458,0.000002657389,0.000001527559,0.0001300947,0.000002414804,0.00007883603],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.0252818,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.05026925,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.07646273194598018,"score_gpt":0.3893533700119705,"score_spread":0.3128906380659903,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}