{"id":"W4391797357","doi":"10.1016/j.jfineco.2024.103793","title":"Human capital risk and portfolio choices: Evidence from university admission discontinuities","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Financial Economics","topic":"Financial Literacy, Pension, Retirement Analysis","field":"Business, Management and Accounting","cited_by":17,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"HEC Montréal","funders":"","keywords":"Portfolio; Economics; Classification of discontinuities; Human capital; Actuarial science; Financial economics; Business; Mathematics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002267823,0.0002007234,0.0004627328,0.001373967,0.0009281134,0.002014049,0.001040711,0.001328695,0.005846146],"category_scores_gemma":[0.02525961,0.0002942577,0.0003552923,0.002796499,0.0009853392,0.001263253,0.002232316,0.001918393,0.0006876103],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0007822046,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0005976227,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02067641,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01762181,"domain_scores_codex":[0.998998,0.0004621301,0.00006414228,0.00009271886,0.0001541625,0.0002288212],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9666495,0.01521277,0.0106607,0.001811418,0.001286467,0.004379075],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0009389914,0.0007999025,0.9842429,0.00001417882,0.00009177563,0.0001028517,0.001296371,0.0005531993,0.0002479744,0.0007958864,0.0004457504,0.01047017],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001904886,0.0001587136,0.9964077,0.00001237122,0.00003707086,0.00004065241,0.001374925,0.0008265295,0.0001831452,0.0005880619,0.0003404281,0.00001139955],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9992219,0.00009975907,0.00005087557,0.0001257627,0.000001965993,0.000002567569,0.00009304377,0.000001866621,0.0004021345],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9994528,0.00006382188,0.00002401891,0.00001993134,0.000004640492,0.000002536882,0.0001299986,0.000001285551,0.0003009675],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02067641,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04111212,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0127644146981588,"score_gpt":0.2124530388968821,"score_spread":0.1996886241987234,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}