{"id":"W4391816536","doi":"10.1098/rspb.2023.2361","title":"Taking the beat of the Arctic: are lemming population cycles changing due to winter climate?","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Proceedings of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences","topic":"Animal Ecology and Behavior Studies","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":34,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Environment and Climate Change Canada; Government of Northwest Territories; Parks Canada; Makivik Corporation; Université Laval; Center for Northern Studies","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; Miljødirektoratet; Miljøstyrelsen; ArcticNet","keywords":"Arctic; Beat (acoustics); Climate change; The arctic; Population; Environmental science; Population cycle; Geography; Oceanography; Physical geography; Climatology; Ecology; Biology; Geology; Demography; Predation","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009369229,0.0001042977,0.000137628,0.000008388406,0.001008619,0.00004679577,0.0006883328,0.0000700837,0.0001708061],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001659455,0.00003822356,0.0002091767,0.0005579459,0.001231368,0.00008997909,0.00120443,0.0001487079,0.000007978909],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00006420064,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000002902683,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0001753274,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00002508795,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9989776,0.00001484215,0.0001804793,0.000269475,0.0002547323,0.0003028469],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9996486,0.0001009568,0.000165622,0.0000477287,0.00001524879,0.00002185187],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000003481782,0.00001541196,0.9919683,0.00001709239,0.000007157667,6.673507e-8,0.001383477,0.00008117681,0.004410797,0.000621943,0.0001917007,0.001299402],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001690133,0.00006510076,0.9922925,0.000105517,0.00001935888,0.00000206274,0.004168951,0.0007915071,0.001785127,0.0006031733,0.00008276561,0.00006709985],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9951147,0.00009185522,0.000009186625,0.003050992,0.0001698184,0.0001979017,0.000003516641,0.00002237321,0.001339591],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9992923,0.0000117904,0.0002550741,0.0003021994,0.0000425675,0.00001509072,9.043245e-8,0.000002704738,0.00007821176],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.004177506,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.7757584,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03129361691842619,"score_gpt":0.2735070908760849,"score_spread":0.2422134739576587,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}