{"id":"W4391822521","doi":"10.1007/s11294-024-09889-y","title":"To Dip or Not to Dip? A Comment on Kyer and Maggs (2019)","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"International Advances in Economic Research","topic":"Monetary Policy and Economic Impact","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Recession; Business cycle; Sample (material); Economics; Quarter (Canadian coin); Gross domestic product; Feature (linguistics); Keynesian economics; Macroeconomics; History; Linguistics; Physics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01773835,0.002017222,0.002980785,0.00216396,0.01405158,0.01422384,0.008302161,0.1842604,0.01668959],"category_scores_gemma":[0.08408328,0.0023369,0.004250983,0.003635309,0.01357143,0.01324922,0.01057554,0.1370644,0.01358615],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.01160292,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.03127494,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.1114927,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.1529239,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9838263,0.002788613,0.001807833,0.003275321,0.004262578,0.004039232],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9553882,0.02592484,0.003711112,0.001312506,0.008189136,0.005474184],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00003300628,0.00001006047,0.0001974691,0.00006104411,0.00001775418,0.0001383598,0.0005880166,0.00002476823,0.0000701532,0.004694525,0.9922765,0.001888488],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001323917,0.00004431219,0.002515096,0.001235503,0.0001051453,0.0002710079,0.003171096,0.0001324875,0.0003802226,0.01672729,0.9750586,0.0002268577],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"commentary","genre_gemma":"commentary","genre_scores_codex":[0.0001502979,0.001284016,0.00005570795,0.9770845,0.02043861,0.000007295804,0.00009478556,0.00001483998,0.0008701211],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.0004640314,0.0002349115,0.00003823124,0.9920915,0.005676828,0.00001318253,0.00001113938,0.00001040069,0.001459682],"genre_candidate":"commentary","genre_consensus":"commentary","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1842604,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2216874,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2008206814639996,"score_gpt":0.4341506177090227,"score_spread":0.233329936245023,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}