{"id":"W4391833296","doi":"10.3847/1538-3881/ad2987","title":"FORECASTOR. I. Finding Optics Requirements and Exposure Times for the Cosmological Advanced Survey Telescope for Optical and UV Research Mission","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"The Astronomical Journal","topic":"Astronomy and Astrophysical Research","field":"Physics and Astronomy","cited_by":6,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia; Western University; Saint Mary's University; University of Victoria; University of Manitoba; McMaster University; University of Waterloo; Herzberg Institute of Astrophysics","funders":"","keywords":"Telescope; Survey research; Physics; Optical telescope; Astronomy; Optics; Remote sensing; Psychology; Geology; Applied psychology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["research_integrity"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003821951,0.0004140471,0.000558357,0.00009691653,0.001206504,0.000883168,0.0008300624,0.0001717441,0.0000443579],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0002473581,0.000231854,0.0003106312,0.00009101832,0.0007949274,0.00009889505,0.002119725,0.00309058,0.00001207299],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001191059,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004156495,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00001681025,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000001243614,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9968881,0.0003674456,0.0006048821,0.0006581543,0.0004420909,0.001039304],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9944575,0.004250456,0.0002009373,0.0004013523,0.0002876741,0.0004020852],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.003369886,0.0003791921,0.01411622,0.0001323418,0.001301572,0.000002609792,0.0003280273,0.003649101,0.001321862,0.03198065,0.005892708,0.9375258],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.01669971,0.01074035,0.1463928,0.003695937,0.00193043,0.00006418967,0.009306294,0.2050992,0.0131704,0.565374,0.02367477,0.003851959],"study_design_candidate":"design_other","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8906161,0.000733927,0.1028438,0.00284735,0.0004413189,0.001962502,0.0004011701,0.00001468178,0.0001390795],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9862168,0.00002602171,0.01070673,0.000009375104,0.002209695,0.0002229132,0.0000772562,0.00005866335,0.0004725573],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.9336739,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9992093,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1475197114338742,"score_gpt":0.4111961372793656,"score_spread":0.2636764258454914,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}