{"id":"W4392104716","doi":"10.1080/13510347.2024.2317271","title":"Radical movement-parties, political change and the epistemology of elections: evidence from Lebanon","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Democratization","topic":"Middle East Politics and Society","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":6,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Toronto","funders":"","keywords":"Politics; Movement (music); Political science; Political economy; Political change; Epistemology; Sociology; Law; Philosophy; Aesthetics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0005464492,0.00005383149,0.0001059963,0.00002467452,0.0002624368,0.00007321352,0.00007739732,0.00008374235,0.0001120687],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0004409333,0.00004038417,0.00004087751,0.0001890717,0.0006642023,0.0001673721,0.00002345749,0.00008439241,0.000006825363],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00006283506,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001214478,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.005284451,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0007758744,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9989657,0.0003222778,0.0001761793,0.0001377968,0.0002046149,0.0001934481],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9991919,0.000572008,0.00003299672,0.00008209943,0.00005399889,0.00006694253],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00000576291,0.000008285529,0.002742867,0.00001678854,0.00001613657,5.515159e-7,0.01198471,7.860942e-7,0.00007960536,0.9838559,0.0004771568,0.000811474],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0006831983,0.00009509984,0.01301621,0.0004113143,0.0001675268,0.000002573644,0.007999239,0.03770876,0.0009233995,0.9122928,0.0264257,0.0002742239],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.7253457,0.03248667,0.05034688,0.1661669,0.002797151,0.002087064,0.00009960889,0.0003253991,0.02034463],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9971263,0.0006877436,0.0001524891,0.0007973202,0.0005081458,0.00003481367,0.00000905221,0.000005374755,0.0006787359],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2717807,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.7988544,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.05723215774299597,"score_gpt":0.3160441059064066,"score_spread":0.2588119481634106,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}