{"id":"W4392391143","doi":"10.1098/rsos.231462","title":"Bellwethers of change: population modelling of North Pacific humpback whales from 2002 through 2021 reveals shift from recovery to climate response","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Royal Society Open Science","topic":"Marine animal studies overview","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":50,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"The Arctic Eider Society; Fisheries and Oceans Canada; Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada","funders":"Southwest Fisheries Science Center; National Marine Fisheries Service; Office of Naval Research; U.S. Navy; University of Hawai'i at Hilo; National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration; Office of Experimental Program to Stimulate Competitive Research; Secretaria Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología; Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología; Idea Wild; University of Hawai'i; National Fish and Wildlife Foundation; Washington State University; Save Our Seas Foundation; Okinawa Churashima Foundation; Cetacean Society International; Oregon State University; Fisheries and Oceans Canada; U.S. Department of Defense","keywords":"Whaling; Abundance (ecology); Climate change; Population; Fishery; Geography; Marine ecosystem; Oceanography; Humpback whale; Period (music); Population size; Ecosystem; Ecology; Biology; Whale; Demography; Geology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0007108471,0.000332454,0.000227351,0.0003840573,0.0002883979,0.001122388,0.0007604571,0.00102191,0.002530718],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001786127,0.0002662115,0.0008353589,0.0005114721,0.0002711515,0.000701145,0.0006108516,0.0006772823,0.0003891323],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0005883875,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0007557537,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.1033315,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.06997816,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998919,0.00003531593,0.00000559783,0.00003653957,0.00001154174,0.00001906335],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9997525,0.00009848713,0.00004187907,0.00002510941,0.00004222129,0.00003995191],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001072757,0.00006321259,0.1632043,0.00008529335,0.0002866302,0.0002136922,0.0002597355,0.809449,0.0004710119,0.003262292,0.005729431,0.01686821],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002395136,0.00004694182,0.04936165,0.00003463663,0.00005018307,0.00005841826,0.0002266494,0.9441903,0.0001129507,0.001858903,0.004016926,0.00001845653],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9730318,0.0009235326,0.01132151,0.002394395,0.00009747172,0.00003195909,0.00566459,0.0002507894,0.006284012],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9901614,0.0004360392,0.003451758,0.0001421733,0.00003633877,0.00005074719,0.003229683,0.00004924969,0.002442496],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1033315,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.20546,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.07796876307222983,"score_gpt":0.3047427422656209,"score_spread":0.2267739791933911,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}