{"id":"W4392391143","doi":"10.1098/rsos.231462","title":"Bellwethers of change: population modelling of North Pacific humpback whales from 2002 through 2021 reveals shift from recovery to climate response","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Royal Society Open Science","topic":"Marine animal studies overview","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":50,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"The Arctic Eider Society; Fisheries and Oceans Canada; Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada","funders":"Southwest Fisheries Science Center; National Marine Fisheries Service; Office of Naval Research; U.S. Navy; University of Hawai'i at Hilo; National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration; Office of Experimental Program to Stimulate Competitive Research; Secretaria Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología; Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología; Idea Wild; University of Hawai'i; National Fish and Wildlife Foundation; Washington State University; Save Our Seas Foundation; Okinawa Churashima Foundation; Cetacean Society International; Oregon State University; Fisheries and Oceans Canada; U.S. Department of Defense","keywords":"Whaling; Abundance (ecology); Climate change; Population; Fishery; Geography; Marine ecosystem; Oceanography; Humpback whale; Period (music); Population size; Ecosystem; Ecology; Biology; Whale; Demography; Geology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001638368,0.0001995508,0.0003756283,0.00001908061,0.0003275957,0.000171825,0.001295643,0.00006029582,0.002331607],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00008110853,0.0001813824,0.0001661928,0.00113266,0.0004019986,0.001056361,0.002551384,0.0001355503,0.0003174653],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002908168,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00003452856,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.07229485,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002845849,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9973311,0.0001126718,0.0004693551,0.0008543534,0.0008028792,0.0004296606],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9988989,0.0002787857,0.0001778835,0.0005004974,0.00002902712,0.0001149204],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0006693373,0.0002596593,0.8269637,0.0001749999,0.0001404071,0.0000115286,0.03425543,0.0669921,0.006182608,0.0001174858,0.01201129,0.05222145],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001435824,0.0001524075,0.9623188,0.0003105286,0.00003995467,1.429929e-7,0.0007985934,0.03160242,0.0006736985,0.0009030705,0.002721288,0.0003355534],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9938374,0.000611306,0.001205302,0.0004327655,0.0001738307,0.000603453,0.0003279644,0.00001807559,0.00278993],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9771056,0.0006816933,0.02158514,0.0002362086,0.00005162971,0.00003128996,0.00001464562,0.00001806334,0.000275705],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1353551,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9985804,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.07796876307222983,"score_gpt":0.3047427422656209,"score_spread":0.2267739791933911,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}