{"id":"W4392518561","doi":"10.1175/bams-d-22-0257.1","title":"Challenges of Operational Weather Forecast Verification and Evaluation","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society","topic":"Advanced Computational Techniques and Applications","field":"Computer Science","cited_by":13,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Environment and Climate Change Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Meteorology; Weather prediction; Tropical cyclone forecast model; Numerical weather prediction; Weather forecasting; Computer science; Environmental science; Climatology; Geography; Geology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":["metaresearch"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.2366663,0.000607314,0.00165804,0.003251711,0.003800073,0.01620883,0.004274114,0.00311563,0.002554299],"category_scores_gemma":[0.4426533,0.000826443,0.0006347909,0.002874833,0.007139016,0.01837206,0.008642735,0.004912871,0.0009351403],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.008572961,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.015201,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0150342,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.005181541,"domain_scores_codex":[0.759842,0.1713323,0.01472799,0.008901621,0.04119312,0.004002971],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.3608017,0.446375,0.0404629,0.04890919,0.09689052,0.006560627],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0009824538,0.0004382309,0.05043553,0.001508079,0.0002737852,0.0006202688,0.01909563,0.03775707,0.003997491,0.1263813,0.04550151,0.7130086],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003494301,0.0009327688,0.04157747,0.003566319,0.0001761931,0.001160243,0.03764927,0.3526016,0.01041421,0.4177575,0.1330977,0.0007172982],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"commentary","genre_scores_codex":[0.3271081,0.009774917,0.4318023,0.1717032,0.001676303,0.001213116,0.001225141,0.005082335,0.05041449],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9472638,0.0006044368,0.04910208,0.001167298,0.0003033687,0.0002072359,0.0002529387,0.0002187769,0.0008801216],"genre_candidate":"commentary","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.2366663,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9413263,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03992352811315666,"score_gpt":0.311145861067558,"score_spread":0.2712223329544013,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}