{"id":"W4392760147","doi":"10.5194/egusphere-egu24-12765","title":"Assessment of tropical cyclone hazard and risk in a changing climate by means of a new global&amp;#160;hybrid model","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"","topic":"Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Université du Québec à Montréal","funders":"","keywords":"Tropical cyclone; Climatology; Hazard; Tropical cyclone forecast model; Environmental science; Climate change; Cyclone (programming language); Meteorology; Geography; Computer science; Oceanography; Geology; Ecology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003579453,0.0004336881,0.0004587992,0.0004452282,0.0003617976,0.001002204,0.000768951,0.0008848664,0.001793977],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001007078,0.0002609421,0.0006615392,0.0003990858,0.0004851514,0.0006981911,0.0006618794,0.0005703236,0.0001137663],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0007663294,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006390004,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02893,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01486694,"domain_scores_codex":[0.999891,0.00003433983,0.000006764512,0.00002524598,0.00002088766,0.00002167317],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9995781,0.0002349771,0.00006854481,0.00002485148,0.00006119552,0.00003239267],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001181574,0.000007061089,0.0009412542,0.000003506765,0.00001301107,0.00001801665,0.000006218139,0.9973687,0.0001424465,0.0006594436,0.00006657322,0.0007618929],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000002845671,0.000005699368,0.0002411065,7.303606e-7,0.000003134465,0.000002590658,0.000003695086,0.9994442,0.00002251669,0.0002134194,0.00005801143,0.000001995327],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.863538,0.0002630111,0.1149688,0.000605778,0.00007283085,0.00005403896,0.001282187,0.0003259237,0.01888951],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9912912,0.0000925432,0.005769874,0.00005339383,0.00002400245,0.00005578645,0.0003517127,0.0000239854,0.002337599],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02893,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.05752325,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02880307747280994,"score_gpt":0.3047260368125517,"score_spread":0.2759229593397418,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}