{"id":"W4392883480","doi":"10.1007/s10346-024-02237-5","title":"Critical assessment of landslide failure forecasting methods with case histories: a comparative study of INV, MINV, SLO, and VOA","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Landslides","topic":"Landslides and related hazards","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":15,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Alberta","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada","keywords":"Landslide; Natural hazard; Geology; Forensic engineering; Geotechnical engineering; Engineering","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.00936976,0.0004082186,0.0002857115,0.005724184,0.0009341656,0.00148828,0.001210437,0.0006410185,0.002425848],"category_scores_gemma":[0.04055282,0.0002943268,0.0005523196,0.00200531,0.0008945134,0.001605046,0.0008364422,0.0004580347,0.0002055471],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002582284,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001576253,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01292327,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02765702,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9968754,0.002103549,0.0001757933,0.0001799206,0.0005105079,0.0001548568],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.937834,0.05242242,0.002470202,0.001420094,0.005078226,0.0007751328],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.003129207,0.002520628,0.5247702,0.0009963406,0.0003348647,0.002027333,0.0121954,0.1101398,0.003567533,0.007062558,0.003004855,0.3302513],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000202156,0.006932088,0.4288658,0.001116473,0.000596002,0.003172339,0.04944786,0.4747478,0.01125105,0.009562131,0.01384036,0.000265845],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.982137,0.0008454837,0.01125742,0.0001901244,0.00002349417,0.0002973318,0.0004438761,0.00005137749,0.004753828],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9930473,0.0002945598,0.005939802,0.00001053301,0.000007162756,0.00005355131,0.0001887724,0.00001056947,0.0004477126],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01292327,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04955262,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03511003340067221,"score_gpt":0.3538906896825432,"score_spread":0.318780656281871,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}