{"id":"W4393343286","doi":"10.1111/irfi.12450","title":"International evidence on global economic uncertainty and cross‐sectional stock returns","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"International Review of Finance","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":3,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Economics; Profitability index; Stock (firearms); Predictive power; Portfolio; Financial economics; Econometrics; Explanatory power; Finance; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009074328,0.0001522488,0.0002891902,0.00009411507,0.00003666116,0.0001197391,0.0004287421,0.00006638257,0.001308103],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0005003948,0.0001615324,0.0001766765,0.00009906875,0.00009619135,0.000365542,0.0001083013,0.0001551708,0.0001311406],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004667364,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00006080752,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0001441114,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00002127534,"domain_scores_codex":[0.998412,0.00001537126,0.0008005713,0.0005286177,0.0001070674,0.0001364266],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9991663,0.0001738965,0.000296912,0.0002363697,0.0000871955,0.00003929317],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00006374397,0.00004438557,0.4005666,0.001014763,0.0001188925,0.000006787198,0.0000160009,0.00009767628,0.000002202655,0.5784792,0.003585391,0.01600435],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001932781,0.00006571285,0.5144308,0.004590752,0.00000562496,0.0000294598,9.490159e-7,0.08983376,0.000003985328,0.03806663,0.3525364,0.0002427133],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.5609295,0.1932511,0.002972386,0.01371568,0.0132381,0.0008089484,0.006161259,0.0001041729,0.2088188],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9175019,0.08037585,0.0002603252,0.0004307771,0.0002323864,0.00003018447,0.00004594711,0.000009900204,0.001112702],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.5404126,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9996048,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04064272186764782,"score_gpt":0.3318696540876026,"score_spread":0.2912269322199547,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}