{"id":"W4394019396","doi":"10.1016/s0140-6736(24)00550-6","title":"Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2021, with forecasts to 2100: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"The Lancet","topic":"Global Maternal and Child Health","field":"Medicine","cited_by":570,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"National Human Genome Research Institute; Russian Academy of Sciences; Canadian Institutes of Health Research; Health Canada; Injury Prevention Research Center; University of California, Irvine; Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Occupational Health, McGill University; University of California, San Diego; Medical Research Council; Robert Koch Institut; Babcock University; Wolkite University; Wachemo University; Liverpool University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust; Madda Walabu University; Intas Pharmaceuticals; Humanitas Research Hospital; Western Sydney University; Hubei University; University of Nizwa; Uniwersytet Śląski w Katowicach; I.M. Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University; H. Lundbeck A/S; Lorestan University of Medical Sciences; Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation; Chettinad Academy of Research and Education; Indian Institute of Technology Mandi; Gdański Uniwersytet Medyczny; Śląski Uniwersytet Medyczny w Katowicach; University of Social Welfare and Rehabilitation Sciences; University of Peradeniya; Universitas Airlangga; Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro; Uniwersytet Wrocławski; National Institutes of Health; Southeast University; Nanjing University; National Nutrition and Food Technology Research Institute; National Cancer Institute; Peking University; University of Sulaimani; Shaqra University; Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais; Fondation Botnar; Universitatea din București; Syracuse University; Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México; National Research University Higher School of Economics; Universidade Federal de Juiz de Fora; Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation; Federation University Australia; University of Tabriz; Unitatea Executiva pentru Finantarea Invatamantului Superior, a Cercetarii, Dezvoltarii si Inovarii; Aristotle University of Thessaloniki; Keio University; Uniwersytet Warszawski; Hokkaido University; Bahir Dar University; University of Hail; Universitätsklinikum Essen; Universitat de Barcelona; Universidade de Lisboa; University of Jordan; Cedars-Sinai Medical Center; Korea Institute for Advancement of Technology; Akademiska Sjukhuset; Universidad ICESI; Tehran Heart Center; Universitair Medisch Centrum Groningen; Taibah University; Asia University; Division of Human Resource Development; National Institute on Aging; Australian Academy of Science; Chinese University of Hong Kong; University of South Africa; Taipei Medical University; Harvard Business School; Università degli Studi di Genova; Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health; University of the Western Cape; Augusta University; Uppsala Universitet; Yonsei University College of Medicine; Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention; Tabriz University of Medical Sciences; Fakultet Medicinskih Nauka, Univerziteta U Kragujevcu; U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; Shiraz University of Medical Sciences; Warszawski Uniwersytet Medyczny; Kuopion Yliopistollinen Sairaala; Khalifa University of Science, Technology and Research; University of Wollongong; American Society of Transplant Surgeons; Multimedia University; King Abdulaziz University; European Regional Development Fund; University of Windsor; Karolinska Institutet; Government of Jiangsu Province; Universidad Autónoma de Madrid; Linköpings Universitet; National Research Foundation of Korea; Universität Regensburg; Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico; Fundación Valle del Lili; Inyuvesi Yakwazulu-Natali; University of South Carolina; Gazi Üniversitesi; Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy; Japan Society for the Promotion of Science; University of Minnesota; Anhui Medical University; Direktorat Jenderal Pendidikan Tinggi; Sungkyunkwan University; Wellcome Trust; Korea University; University of Leeds; Novo Nordisk; Corporación colombiana de investigación agropecuaria; Ajou University; Sun Yat-sen University; Sanofi Genzyme; University of Pennsylvania; Tsinghua University; National Taiwan Normal University; Cairo University; Public Health England; Kyung Hee University; University of Thessaly; AXA Research Fund; Universidad de Antioquia; University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center; Murdoch University; Universiti Sains Malaysia; University of Crete; Curtin University of Technology; Monash University; Deakin University; Ateneo de Manila University; Rijksuniversiteit Groningen; Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology; Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft; University of Dhaka; Universiteit Stellenbosch; Amity University; Dublin City University; University of Galway; Indian Council of Agricultural Research; Macquarie University; Hellenic Foundation for Research and Innovation; Chulalongkorn University; Social Science Research Council; University of Glasgow; Indian Council of Medical Research; Universitas Padjadjaran; Mashhad University of Medical Sciences; Massachusetts General Hospital; University College London; NIH Clinical Center; Universidad de Zaragoza; United States Agency for International Development; Department of Health and Social Care; Università di Catania; National Research Foundation; University of Queensland; National Institute for Health and Care Research; Norwegian Institute of Public Health; UK Research and Innovation; Rafsanjan University of Medical Sciences; American Heart Association; University of Engineering and Technology, Lahore; Prince Sattam bin Abdulaziz University; Government of Canada; Kasturba Medical College, Manipal; McGill University; University of Kufa; Ministerul Cercetării, Inovării şi Digitalizării; University of Embu; Seres Therapeutics; U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs; Universiti Tun Hussein Onn Malaysia; National University of Ireland; University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; European Commission; Georgetown University; Ahmadu Bello University; Directorate for Biological Sciences; University of Central Florida; Koch Institute for Integrative Cancer Research, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Nankai University; Istituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche Mario Negri - IRCCS; London South Bank University; Universidade de São Paulo; Queen's University; Gonabad University of Medical Sciences; Charotar University of Science and Technology; Tomsk Polytechnic University; Public Health Foundation of India; Rajshahi University; Kermanshah University of Medical Sciences; University of New South Wales; Environmental Defense Fund; Shahrekord University of Medical Sciences; University of Nottingham; Shiraz University; University of the West of England; North South University; Biogen; Radboud Universiteit; Aksum University; Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences; Ministry of Education; Birjand University of Medical Sciences; National Research Centre; Jazan University; London School of Economics and Political Science; Jimma University; Yale University; Lebanese American University; Universiti Brunei Darussalam; University of Bern; Univerzita Karlova v Praze; Uniwersytet Medyczny im. Karola Marcinkowskiego w Poznaniu; Agios Pharmaceuticals; University of Technology Sydney; Tehran University of Medical Sciences and Health Services; University of Oklahoma; University of Tasmania; Allergan; West Virginia University; Amgen; Amarin Corporation; National Research, Development and Innovation Office; Universitas Indonesia; Patuakhali Science and Technology University; University of Montana; Johns Hopkins University; ICAR-Indian Veterinary Research Institute; Yonsei University; Birzeit University; Teesside University; SRM Institute of Science and Technology; University of California, Los Angeles; China Medical University; Mekelle University; Itä-Suomen Yliopisto; Khulna University; AstraZeneca; Moderna; Case Western Reserve University; Harvard University; Iran University of Medical Sciences; Norges Teknisk-Naturvitenskapelige Universitet; Nemzeti Kutatási, Fejlesztési és Innovaciós Alap; American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases; McMaster University; Berlin Institute of Health; Society for Surgery of the Alimentary Tract; Brigham and Women's Hospital; University of South Florida; Bundesministerium für Gesundheit; Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine; South African Medical Research Council; Masarykova Univerzita; Gilead Sciences; Alexander von Humboldt-Stiftung; Tribhuvan University; Shahrekord University; Carolina Population Center, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Sanofi; World Health Organization; La Trobe University; Menzies Institute for Medical Research; Babol University of Medical Sciences; Universidad de Colima; Cooperativa de Ensino Superior Politécnico e Universitário; University of Massachusetts Boston; Central South University; National Science and Technology Council; Arabian Gulf University; Hubei University of Medicine; Trường Đại học Duy Tân; Pomorski Uniwersytet Medyczny W Szczecinie; Università degli Studi di Milano","keywords":"Burden of disease; Fertility; Disease; Disease burden; Global health; Developing country; Environmental health; Development economics; Medicine; Virology; Economic growth; Public health; Economics; Population; Pathology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02084778983744722,"score_gpt":0.3131244146596759,"score_spread":0.2922766248222287,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}