{"id":"W4394730417","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.4758136","title":"Oil Price Uncertainty and Consumer Sentiment in Advanced Economies","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Calgary","funders":"","keywords":"Oil price; Economics; Consumer confidence index; Financial economics; Business; Commerce; Economy; Natural resource economics; Monetary economics; Macroeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003805451,0.00009889654,0.0002127262,0.0004138927,0.0001906131,0.001258878,0.00009800693,0.0005585683,0.001916868],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00374962,0.0001189942,0.0001735812,0.0005643398,0.0003980556,0.001015893,0.0003734037,0.0005690772,0.0001503602],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00057947,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001730821,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.006089851,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00727895,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9999359,0.0000141797,0.000005785382,0.00001103242,0.00001616806,0.00001684783],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9977987,0.001047859,0.000758508,0.00004499588,0.0001962908,0.0001535517],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001229703,0.000183037,0.9292387,0.000100123,0.0001969174,0.001194093,0.001168105,0.01762189,0.002054404,0.02637141,0.003478257,0.01716319],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00003464835,0.0001353848,0.9397388,0.00003339502,0.00007279307,0.0002380523,0.001846823,0.02883834,0.0005103645,0.02636205,0.00214848,0.00004094458],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9967827,0.0002676317,0.0001940468,0.0004864845,0.000008137592,0.000002031341,0.00009997413,0.000002760271,0.00215628],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.999494,0.000154895,0.00001636531,0.0000170782,0.00001682361,4.694376e-7,0.0000452682,8.906237e-7,0.0002543115],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.006089851,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01210886,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.007732705688493497,"score_gpt":0.2171022697287086,"score_spread":0.2093695640402151,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}