{"id":"W4395041734","doi":"10.22541/au.171386602.26426238/v1","title":"The Post-2020 Surge in Global Atmospheric Methane Observed in Ground-based Observations","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"","topic":"Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Toronto","funders":"Agencia Estatal de Meteorología; Ames Research Center; Sorbonne Université; University of Science and Technology of China; Peking University; Universität Bremen; University of Toronto; Jet Propulsion Laboratory; Centre National d’Etudes Spatiales; Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique; Chinese Academy of Sciences; University of Wollongong; Anhui Institute of Optics and Fine Mechanics, Chinese Academy of Sciences; Hefei Institutes of Physical Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences; University of Washington; National Aeronautics and Space Administration; National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research; Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency; California Institute of Technology","keywords":"Methane; Atmospheric methane; Greenhouse gas; Environmental science; Radiative forcing; Atmospheric sciences; Global-warming potential; Global warming; Methane emissions; Carbon cycle; Meteorology; Chemistry; Climate change; Physics; Ecosystem; Geology; Aerosol; Oceanography","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0004747017,0.0003157523,0.000154643,0.0003440309,0.000213765,0.0005753628,0.0002122515,0.0005173294,0.00104781],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0007580767,0.00011015,0.0002838425,0.0008020194,0.0001538218,0.0004241192,0.0003347758,0.0002832829,0.000362857],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0005048607,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000676772,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.04840909,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.04866182,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998525,0.00001675421,0.000005868797,0.00003551144,0.00005428083,0.00003508081],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9998252,0.00003178932,0.0000345614,0.00002096747,0.00006355905,0.00002396783],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0007829634,0.000288696,0.7869833,0.0005430072,0.0003279099,0.0009744138,0.0002838048,0.08867402,0.02861113,0.004748524,0.03572499,0.05205727],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00003928546,0.00007861669,0.8754784,0.00004735587,0.00006563204,0.0001579871,0.0002334956,0.08703496,0.01078687,0.001084539,0.02494731,0.00004557124],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9561003,0.0004065369,0.001815411,0.0006193204,0.0001173917,0.00001644376,0.03627397,0.0003986054,0.004252046],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9381245,0.0002730026,0.002448819,0.0001141196,0.00004662001,0.00002738222,0.05763169,0.00004241058,0.001291472],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.04840909,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.09625459,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01925608116449335,"score_gpt":0.2311223173986556,"score_spread":0.2118662362341623,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}