{"id":"W4398200547","doi":"10.1093/nc/niae020","title":"Knowing that you know that you know? An extreme-confidence heuristic can lead to above-chance discrimination of metacognitive performance","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Neuroscience of Consciousness","topic":"Neural and Behavioral Psychology Studies","field":"Neuroscience","cited_by":5,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Canadian Institute for Advanced Research","funders":"Dr Mortimer and Theresa Sackler Foundation","keywords":"Metacognition; Psychology; Confidence interval; Overconfidence effect; Metamemory; Perception; Cognitive psychology; Two-alternative forced choice; Social psychology; Cognition; Statistics; Mathematics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.007842747,0.0004892987,0.0006912568,0.001009317,0.0005417562,0.003249892,0.0005786328,0.00135808,0.003610233],"category_scores_gemma":[0.06491765,0.0003239957,0.0006192815,0.0006124445,0.001294296,0.001958789,0.001594825,0.001206469,0.0007431029],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004776014,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000448043,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0006136122,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001248178,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9939189,0.002102818,0.0006839737,0.001359804,0.001428253,0.0005061934],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9557498,0.02732811,0.007921976,0.005693033,0.001794126,0.001512996],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.008942798,0.001769507,0.5604737,0.001312897,0.00111735,0.000833068,0.009142284,0.00684383,0.0462083,0.02610375,0.005893587,0.3313589],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003137738,0.003811143,0.843932,0.0005336006,0.0004330061,0.001605769,0.003727985,0.02601928,0.02588426,0.08296842,0.01031439,0.0004563557],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9590804,0.000480667,0.02574595,0.0006291337,0.00007470763,0.000178521,0.000265569,0.0002233695,0.01332172],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9901101,0.00008190619,0.008641053,0.0002719977,0.00002150888,0.0001084068,0.0001665649,0.00002040952,0.0005779996],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.007842747,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04147691,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1723966397380585,"score_gpt":0.3679786062009562,"score_spread":0.1955819664628976,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}