{"id":"W4399279333","doi":"10.3386/w32511","title":"Life-cycle Forces make Monetary Policy Transmission Wealth-centric","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"report","venue":"National Bureau of Economic Research","topic":"Economic Theory and Policy","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":3,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia","funders":"","keywords":"Monetary policy; Economics; Transmission (telecommunications); Monetary economics; Computer science; Telecommunications","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[{"model":"gpt","categories":[],"domain":null,"study_design":"design_other","genre":"other","about_ca_system":false,"about_ca_topic":false,"confidence":"low","status":"direct model label, unvalidated"},{"model":"grok","categories":[],"domain":null,"study_design":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre":"other","about_ca_system":false,"about_ca_topic":false,"confidence":"low","status":"direct model label, unvalidated"},{"model":"opus","categories":[],"domain":null,"study_design":"simulation_or_modeling","genre":"other","about_ca_system":false,"about_ca_topic":false,"confidence":"low","status":"direct model label, unvalidated"}],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.008098383,0.0004640767,0.001321289,0.004184919,0.0002124574,0.0001883683,0.001065787,0.0008624805,0.003773086],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00159891,0.0005476387,0.0006367765,0.000601079,0.0003474836,0.0002818285,0.0002695154,0.001434513,0.005453729],"about_ca_system_candidate":true,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003155931,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.006806853,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.009912807,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001568249,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9950699,0.0001315974,0.002350639,0.001221042,0.0002765146,0.000950273],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9966708,0.0008940182,0.0008594499,0.0006379649,0.000365493,0.0005722652],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00006608447,0.00008679623,0.000315433,0.0007402796,0.0003598906,0.000006019789,0.0001831007,0.0009648256,0.000004782376,0.9245073,0.06744914,0.005316393],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003392836,0.00007463912,0.0001713421,0.0001326993,0.00001016581,0.00001647281,0.00002253775,0.001356545,0.00002562039,0.6692464,0.3282793,0.0003250433],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.00673243,0.029032,0.00002368504,0.007260248,0.00138247,0.0007605894,0.002134923,0.00006116327,0.9526125],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.8938128,0.02951942,0.0002039555,0.0003809036,0.005585791,0.000176732,0.001039064,0.000226306,0.06905503],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.8870804,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9996975,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2122044546858439,"score_gpt":0.4509387729513805,"score_spread":0.2387343182655366,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}