{"id":"W4399286065","doi":"10.54932/zbcm3806","title":"Pessimism could plunge us into a recession","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"report","venue":"","topic":"Optimism, Hope, and Well-being","field":"Psychology","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Université du Québec à Montréal; Center for Interuniversity Research and Analysis on Organizations; Université Laval","funders":"","keywords":"Pessimism; Keynesian economics; Recession; Economics; Psychology; Philosophy; Epistemology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002091846,0.0001998244,0.0001529505,0.0006685596,0.002161086,0.001902909,0.0002571508,0.0007651052,0.005130457],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003975087,0.0001479991,0.0003362303,0.0006928563,0.001180257,0.00111757,0.001325861,0.002281839,0.0005328231],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003971347,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.005374895,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.1921911,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.3986573,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9994319,0.000131138,0.00001718456,0.00003274272,0.0001575115,0.0002295778],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9983214,0.0002768205,0.0002977567,0.00007613595,0.0004000958,0.0006278024],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0006680715,0.0005210146,0.5307699,0.0001805143,0.0001085505,0.0009165035,0.02590755,0.0008599537,0.001835112,0.04879928,0.1538347,0.2355989],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00003933514,0.0002101884,0.854902,0.000390589,0.00006157768,0.0003859871,0.03214796,0.0006412984,0.0008388796,0.009665221,0.1006452,0.00007175869],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"commentary","genre_scores_codex":[0.8233069,0.003371778,0.0005402792,0.100401,0.000592059,0.00005935702,0.001090286,0.00006308317,0.07057529],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9784655,0.002499889,0.0003899543,0.005676709,0.000121755,0.0000166697,0.0003314991,0.00001433516,0.01248366],"genre_candidate":"commentary","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.1921911,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.3821447,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0393550135704761,"score_gpt":0.3976009427344366,"score_spread":0.3582459291639605,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}