{"id":"W4399429563","doi":"10.62374/btwj9338","title":"Snatching the Wrong Conclusions from the Jaws of Defeat (Part 1)","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"New Perspectives on Political Economy","topic":"American Environmental and Regional History","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Toronto","funders":"","keywords":"History; Geology; Psychology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["sts","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.00007886371,0.000128771,0.0001399358,0.000009085572,0.0002279189,0.000005416671,0.000348238,0.0000379228,0.006214487],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00003457831,0.00005680321,0.0001231567,0.00003796125,0.003886719,0.0001000419,0.0002298121,0.0001242008,0.0007956889],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0005443409,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00002659603,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001491872,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00004277037,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9990224,0.00007465432,0.0001598754,0.0003048755,0.0001485884,0.0002896015],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.99873,0.000695897,0.0000653258,0.0003303566,0.000002471881,0.0001759165],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00007419831,0.0002706514,0.01226667,0.000001111511,0.00008151973,0.000004201015,0.007425073,0.00008218305,0.001503519,0.9228628,0.04731036,0.008117691],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0007792354,0.0002292632,0.08692129,0.00004124927,0.00004463231,0.000009865877,0.03945846,0.00002391871,0.0006888906,0.06790344,0.8035579,0.0003418692],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.2764275,0.0002743534,0.0007128571,0.07118547,0.000133002,0.0002628691,0.00006039008,0.00002727985,0.6509163],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.992814,0.00002795074,0.0001060065,0.003774415,0.0002203519,0.000008981317,0.000001052942,0.00001161621,0.003035623],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.8549594,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999823,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01069474900365434,"score_gpt":0.2120052560356676,"score_spread":0.2013105070320133,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}