{"id":"W4399505667","doi":"10.1111/gcb.17356","title":"A circumpolar study unveils a positive non‐linear effect of temperature on arctic arthropod availability that may reduce the risk of warming‐induced trophic mismatch for breeding shorebirds","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Global Change Biology","topic":"Climate variability and models","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":7,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Wildlife Conservation Society Canada; Simon Fraser University; Université de Moncton; Trent University; Ministry of Natural Resources and Forestry; Université Laval; Center for Northern Studies; York University; Université du Québec à Rimouski; Environment and Climate Change Canada","funders":"Office of Polar Programs; Wageningen University and Research; Fonds de recherche du Québec – Nature et technologies; Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; Cornell Lab of Ornithology; University of Colorado Denver; Disney Conservation Fund; U.S. Bureau of Land Management; U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service; Arctic Goose Joint Venture; Ministère de la Défense Nationale; Natural Resources Canada; Environment and Climate Change Canada; Indigenous and Northern Affairs Canada; Minnesota State University Moorhead; Miljøstyrelsen; Institut Polaire Français Paul Emile Victor; Agence Nationale de la Recherche; European Science Foundation; Arctic Landscape Conservation Cooperative; Massachusetts Department of Fish and Game; Ministerie van Landbouw, Natuur en Voedselkwaliteit; ArcticNet; New Brunswick Innovation Foundation; American Museum of Natural History; U.S. Geological Survey; Kresge Foundation; Faucett Catalyst Fund; Cornell University; Government of Nunavut; Nederlandse Organisatie voor Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek; W. Garfield Weston Foundation; Trent University; Université de Moncton; North Dakota State University; Parks Canada; National Park Service; National Science Foundation; Aurora Research Institute; Ministry of Natural Resources of the People's Republic of China; Polar Knowledge Canada; Ministry of Natural Resources; International Arctic Research Center, University of Alaska, Fairbanks; Kansas State University; National Fish and Wildlife Foundation; Aarhus Universitet; Université du Québec à Rimouski; Crown-Indigenous Relations and Northern Affairs Canada; Fonds Québécois de la Recherche sur la Nature et les Technologies; Wildlife Conservation Society; David and Lucile Packard Foundation; Government of Canada; Alaska Department of Fish and Game; Canada Foundation for Innovation; Ducks Unlimited Canada","keywords":"Trophic level; Biomass (ecology); Phenology; Arctic; Subarctic climate; Ecology; Arthropod; Biology; Predation; Insectivore; Environmental science; Global warming; Growing season; Climate change","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003097455,0.0002578126,0.0002568443,0.0002735711,0.0005180696,0.0005307796,0.0001269793,0.000190137,0.002282886],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0004264151,0.0001333789,0.0003253049,0.0003025237,0.000194969,0.000337342,0.0002630441,0.0002133576,0.0002297758],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000282182,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003330656,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01644739,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.06059362,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998742,0.00003986041,0.000007060893,0.0000428937,0.00001167052,0.00002427901],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9995375,0.0001067873,0.0001555935,0.00004313568,0.00006594829,0.0000911192],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000298091,0.00006356544,0.9792247,0.00005767626,0.0001469624,0.0001504716,0.0002886465,0.0003630512,0.01299281,0.0000920134,0.000163678,0.006158254],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00000104054,0.00003233701,0.9992089,0.000003752724,0.0000217573,0.00002782575,0.0001465462,0.0001966815,0.0001570931,0.00001506225,0.0001875722,0.000001461822],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9981378,0.0003713104,0.0004038808,0.00004385179,0.000009609542,0.000003037696,0.0002078445,0.000005780852,0.0008168052],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9992174,0.0001293927,0.000300909,0.00002658742,0.00001303388,0.000003605412,0.0001181873,0.000003170419,0.0001878402],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01644739,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03270334,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04296233610486724,"score_gpt":0.3167209672336103,"score_spread":0.273758631128743,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). 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