{"id":"W4400786154","doi":"10.1155/2024/5525298","title":"Mitigating Risk: Predicting H5N1 Avian Influenza Spread with an Empirical Model of Bird Movement","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Transboundary and Emerging Diseases","topic":"Influenza Virus Research Studies","field":"Medicine","cited_by":17,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Université Laval; Center for Northern Studies; Government of Northwest Territories; Université du Québec à Rimouski; Carleton University; Environment and Climate Change Canada","funders":"Canada First Research Excellence Fund; National Institute of Food and Agriculture; Department of Water Resources; California Waterfowl Association; U.S. Geological Survey; California Department of Fish and Wildlife; Arctic Goose Joint Venture; U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service; Society for Research in Child Development; ArcticNet; Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; U.S. Department of Agriculture; National Science Foundation","keywords":"Waterfowl; Biosecurity; Influenza A virus subtype H5N1; Outbreak; Wildlife; Geography; Disease surveillance; Influenza A virus; Fishery; Biology; Ecology; Habitat; Environmental resource management; Public health; Environmental science; Virology; Virus","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002385352,0.0002495047,0.0003706257,0.0001927832,0.0004041308,0.00008613562,0.00008274645,0.00005153224,0.00003897151],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00008921717,0.0001877846,0.0001098654,0.0002780475,0.000489466,0.0003784036,0.00003903369,0.0003287788,0.000003363079],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00004430849,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003272894,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0003194587,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00007143578,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9981304,0.00007075974,0.0003817274,0.0004381554,0.0005581863,0.0004207901],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.999124,0.0001322327,0.00005053684,0.0002477258,0.0001041385,0.0003413849],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001734087,0.0003638377,0.951592,0.00317871,0.0008020502,0.000113776,0.01069917,0.004490307,0.002595751,0.0002194852,0.0001091637,0.0241017],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.005548893,0.004006681,0.4082623,0.005890079,0.002966373,0.00002869578,0.005346197,0.5577962,0.003299951,0.003617708,0.002189808,0.001047053],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9884616,0.008690799,0.001125226,0.0003438415,0.0000406465,0.0003775652,0.0002745343,0.0003593104,0.0003264588],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9972088,0.0004538286,0.00156461,0.0004748457,0.0001280054,0.00004830536,0.00001631113,0.00006074991,0.0000444896],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.5533059,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.7657633,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0556859193742586,"score_gpt":0.371097036989919,"score_spread":0.3154111176156604,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}