{"id":"W4400786154","doi":"10.1155/2024/5525298","title":"Mitigating Risk: Predicting H5N1 Avian Influenza Spread with an Empirical Model of Bird Movement","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Transboundary and Emerging Diseases","topic":"Influenza Virus Research Studies","field":"Medicine","cited_by":17,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Université Laval; Center for Northern Studies; Government of Northwest Territories; Université du Québec à Rimouski; Carleton University; Environment and Climate Change Canada","funders":"Canada First Research Excellence Fund; National Institute of Food and Agriculture; Department of Water Resources; California Waterfowl Association; U.S. Geological Survey; California Department of Fish and Wildlife; Arctic Goose Joint Venture; U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service; Society for Research in Child Development; ArcticNet; Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; U.S. Department of Agriculture; National Science Foundation","keywords":"Waterfowl; Biosecurity; Influenza A virus subtype H5N1; Outbreak; Wildlife; Geography; Disease surveillance; Influenza A virus; Fishery; Biology; Ecology; Habitat; Environmental resource management; Public health; Environmental science; Virology; Virus","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001101407,0.0008295604,0.0004557237,0.000539192,0.0003603227,0.0009472877,0.001158882,0.001175503,0.001531629],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003481597,0.0004626838,0.0006050633,0.0002876022,0.0004656707,0.0009985713,0.0006217153,0.00105667,0.0002516648],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0008171799,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0009439344,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.04452316,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.03257875,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997538,0.00009650969,0.00001143334,0.00008690881,0.00001396822,0.00003738996],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9985176,0.001038106,0.0002123536,0.00004754181,0.00009282155,0.00009157407],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00004201157,0.00007551337,0.02282123,0.00001169088,0.00003623251,0.00004247036,0.00002863451,0.9721286,0.000179265,0.0004267745,0.0004405175,0.003767121],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000004618275,0.00001765963,0.001240514,0.000002527232,0.000005051296,0.000007589665,0.0000118387,0.99828,0.00002106267,0.0003415857,0.00006454975,0.000002923137],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9434191,0.0003782586,0.05139389,0.001574961,0.00007658218,0.00004934027,0.0009970487,0.0001951805,0.001915611],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.991639,0.000118242,0.006023138,0.0001229559,0.00004891266,0.00003172692,0.0005354101,0.00001524666,0.001465333],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.04452316,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.08852804,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0556859193742586,"score_gpt":0.371097036989919,"score_spread":0.3154111176156604,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}