{"id":"W4400843809","doi":"10.1016/j.energy.2024.132475","title":"Exploring the dynamic connections between oil price shocks and bond yields in developed nations: A TVP-SVAR-SV approach","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Energy","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":11,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Ottawa","funders":"United Arab Emirates University","keywords":"Bond; Oil price; Economics; Econometrics; Keynesian economics; Financial economics; Monetary economics; Mathematical economics; Finance","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0006216553,0.0001232623,0.0002069628,0.0003249478,0.0001620573,0.0001447067,0.0001423633,0.0000704358,0.00004013253],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001324179,0.0001163269,0.00004918717,0.0006864555,0.00003921216,0.0002527513,0.00008521102,0.0001992196,0.00000644494],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001234605,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00003404542,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.000883163,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001182495,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9989696,0.00002138365,0.0003913067,0.0003782687,0.0000329035,0.0002065961],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9993518,0.000311586,0.00005874916,0.0002176064,0.00001506278,0.0000452013],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000008352644,0.00005473955,0.04285154,0.0001111379,0.0001041172,0.00000374717,0.001007203,0.0001915172,0.00000414257,0.9224718,0.0001012745,0.03309048],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003541388,0.00003294742,0.1651756,0.00006874166,0.0000142923,0.000009338816,0.0003742913,0.6057081,0.000005605158,0.055748,0.1720183,0.0004906147],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8344288,0.003353464,0.02574533,0.001050528,0.0004660423,0.00008342624,0.0001004352,0.00008183751,0.1346901],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9948751,0.001171708,0.0005810561,0.00005131312,0.00006912686,0.0001488572,0.00003212892,0.00001990182,0.003050756],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.8667238,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.4743671,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.06854296670766165,"score_gpt":0.236254703381723,"score_spread":0.1677117366740613,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}