{"id":"W4401005661","doi":"10.1515/9780887555480-008","title":"7. Pollsters and the 2016 Manitoba Election: A Flurry of Activity","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"book-chapter","venue":"University of Manitoba Press eBooks","topic":"Canadian Identity and History","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Political science; Sociology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009194319,0.0006573084,0.0003879649,0.001917532,0.02233219,0.01091354,0.001255833,0.004877232,0.04958097],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002093758,0.0006933972,0.0004146777,0.004843058,0.003529283,0.002807036,0.002851022,0.004211191,0.006416938],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.03478736,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.09459344,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.9376315,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.9901071,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9988565,0.0001140973,0.00002088081,0.00005788098,0.0003031861,0.0006474784],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9992274,0.0001125843,0.00005202515,0.00002494214,0.0002344263,0.0003485807],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00006532989,0.00005256878,0.006726357,0.0002407796,0.00001297266,0.00068351,0.03791967,0.000163197,0.000306537,0.1899113,0.7163586,0.04755914],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00000562112,0.000005877718,0.009428928,0.0001930919,0.0000058709,0.0000400496,0.01630741,0.00002674259,0.0001031178,0.001254843,0.9726149,0.0000136111],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.03381522,0.03174046,0.0002446188,0.1370591,0.005129837,0.00008480917,0.001639524,0.0001066168,0.7901798],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.06190938,0.006866572,0.0001134589,0.008003283,0.0002913099,0.00004179215,0.0002354654,0.00005596986,0.9224827],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.06236845,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2524011,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01644987043518256,"score_gpt":0.1782819665306836,"score_spread":0.1618320960955011,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}