{"id":"W4401210210","doi":"10.3390/jrfm17080332","title":"Prediction of Currency Exchange Rate Based on Transformers","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of risk and financial management","topic":"Stock Market Forecasting Methods","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":4,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Currency; Transformer; Exchange rate; Monetary economics; Econometrics; Economics; Engineering; Electrical engineering; Voltage","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001252494,0.000891396,0.0006454103,0.001999384,0.0001373023,0.0009502047,0.0004560063,0.0004701474,0.0009750266],"category_scores_gemma":[0.004063984,0.0001625563,0.0006422685,0.001178222,0.0001739822,0.000964442,0.0005256715,0.00067254,0.0004960211],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003860982,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0005222084,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.009556113,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.005562878,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997086,0.000074686,0.00003445752,0.00007853149,0.00006417199,0.00003956203],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9992272,0.0003596862,0.0001032477,0.00006419237,0.0001943575,0.00005129007],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0008183338,0.0002927079,0.1276049,0.0001423405,0.0002359518,0.000368121,0.0001247727,0.6206045,0.005792539,0.002829056,0.00687124,0.2343155],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001086306,0.00002614848,0.005331842,0.000005732441,0.00001402261,0.000032014,0.00001701655,0.9930656,0.0007679368,0.0004761071,0.0002454462,0.000007340748],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8655936,0.001072589,0.124457,0.0004177878,0.0001770579,0.00008242758,0.002598458,0.001618994,0.003982106],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9826038,0.0003835045,0.0135062,0.00002875412,0.0000346864,0.00002211431,0.002607354,0.0000217983,0.0007918653],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.009556113,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01900101,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.06681991504942048,"score_gpt":0.3410984708460282,"score_spread":0.2742785557966077,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}