{"id":"W4402025733","doi":"10.1016/j.frl.2024.106009","title":"Middle East conflict and energy companies: The effect of air and drone strikes on global energy stocks","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Finance research letters","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":13,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Event study; Energy (signal processing); Geopolitics; Event (particle physics); Business; Economics; Financial economics; Monetary economics; Geography; Political science","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0005719232,0.0002272127,0.0002126334,0.001163011,0.0003508098,0.00188048,0.000196913,0.0004982646,0.003673036],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002399936,0.00007179348,0.0004714199,0.00124322,0.0003670363,0.0009779177,0.0008080824,0.0007867437,0.0003580804],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0005515219,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0003870848,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01055133,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.009404093,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9996669,0.0000628097,0.00002578142,0.00004420006,0.00007649916,0.000123878],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9972774,0.0007552051,0.001368598,0.0000707145,0.0001904126,0.0003376444],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001834595,0.0001399541,0.9860141,0.00003140679,0.0001515336,0.0006195111,0.0002453438,0.002173162,0.0002519145,0.001289181,0.001276697,0.00762376],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000007605645,0.0001860661,0.9891865,0.00002268765,0.00006905488,0.0001308452,0.001783991,0.005554389,0.0004507477,0.0007694469,0.00182061,0.00001800288],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9957172,0.0002702487,0.0001282011,0.0003797903,0.00002038897,0.000007231602,0.0004557114,0.000004281609,0.003016999],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9988849,0.0001341887,0.00003950238,0.00003345216,0.00003096375,0.000003422418,0.0003702117,0.000001231187,0.0005021012],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01055133,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02097982,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04526304252894052,"score_gpt":0.2725468443983703,"score_spread":0.2272838018694298,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}