{"id":"W4402652280","doi":"10.1177/00222437241286785","title":"The Last Hurrah Effect: End-of-Period Temporal Landmarks Increase Optimism and Financial Risk-Taking","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Marketing Research","topic":"Housing Market and Economics","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":6,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"The Scarborough Hospital","funders":"Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada; Simon Fraser University; University of Minnesota; Nanyang Technological University; University of Toronto; Carnegie Mellon University; George Mason University","keywords":"Optimism; Period (music); Economics; Psychology; Finance; Social psychology; Philosophy; Aesthetics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaresearch"],"consensus_categories":["metaresearch"],"category_scores_codex":[0.04771785,0.0001391614,0.0004399842,0.0005003856,0.0004362294,0.0004744329,0.000353448,0.0001256293,0.0001448562],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01502155,0.0001106807,0.0001823057,0.0003259123,0.0002508208,0.00022447,0.0001900054,0.001148784,0.00002146752],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001427921,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001932054,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0001948024,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00006944198,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9976292,0.0005664465,0.000927295,0.0002458367,0.0001399302,0.0004912517],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.994046,0.004642836,0.0008527363,0.0002097696,0.000111096,0.000137579],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.002536788,0.00008226551,0.6892505,0.0006521092,0.0002029019,0.0002025936,0.001328727,0.00007578063,0.00005460628,0.003446061,0.009306137,0.2928615],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.003596982,0.00165963,0.4289228,0.00262387,0.00007886046,0.0006463731,0.001069208,0.02811722,0.0001744734,0.02359188,0.5085616,0.0009571826],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9584443,0.01045532,0.00006562141,0.000463172,0.0006597746,0.0001280811,0.00001866286,0.00001050281,0.02975459],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9898482,0.008994857,0.0003159842,0.000008536224,0.0005609511,0.000004237637,0.000001009121,0.0000301621,0.0002360415],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.4992554,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9932753,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03170739079232685,"score_gpt":0.2939731817577559,"score_spread":0.2622657909654291,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}