{"id":"W4402991371","doi":"10.3390/fire7100346","title":"Simulation of Fire Occurrence Based on Historical Data in Future Climate Scenarios and Its Practical Verification","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Fire","topic":"Fire effects on ecosystems","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":4,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"National Key Research and Development Program of China; National Natural Science Foundation of China","keywords":"Environmental science; Climatology; Precipitation; Climate change; Meteorology; Geography; Geology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.00165125,0.0007608794,0.0004544758,0.0007321289,0.0004247329,0.0007083268,0.0008311978,0.0008072305,0.001078265],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002671878,0.000412758,0.0007975967,0.0007325075,0.000286604,0.0008664824,0.0003832213,0.0007252638,0.0001476635],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001023775,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0009556668,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.06379265,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0305275,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9996575,0.0001272408,0.00003160795,0.00008677291,0.00004517899,0.00005174119],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9987255,0.0007390564,0.0001151092,0.0001113826,0.0002268691,0.0000819779],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00003622548,0.00002522257,0.006890371,0.00001699613,0.00002073049,0.00004054717,0.00001636365,0.9901198,0.0001721388,0.0003323535,0.0001427744,0.00218646],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000006198043,0.000008219863,0.001167828,0.00000202482,0.000004787056,0.000004120255,0.000009380515,0.9985037,0.0001043586,0.0001251934,0.00006054041,0.000003651938],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9501125,0.0001849475,0.0434246,0.0002133162,0.0000631407,0.00008118918,0.002143102,0.0005372447,0.003240078],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9921007,0.00007497614,0.006663297,0.000009408864,0.000006721327,0.00005280193,0.0008322491,0.00001731417,0.0002426145],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.06379265,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1268427,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02904335799201982,"score_gpt":0.2935729510067078,"score_spread":0.2645295930146879,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}