{"id":"W4403092826","doi":"10.1002/bsl.2698","title":"Are risk assessment tools more accurate than unstructured judgments in predicting violent, any, and sexual offending? A meta‐analysis of direct comparison studies","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"review","venue":"Behavioral Sciences & the Law","topic":"Psychopathy, Forensic Psychiatry, Sexual Offending","field":"Psychology","cited_by":25,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Simon Fraser University","funders":"Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada; Simon Fraser University","keywords":"Meta-analysis; Poison control; Human factors and ergonomics; Injury prevention; Occupational safety and health; Suicide prevention; Risk assessment; Psychology; Computer science; Clinical psychology; Computer security; Medicine; Medical emergency","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.03720823,0.002923853,0.0153707,0.006477612,0.0006160581,0.004735169,0.002267585,0.002079385,0.001986957],"category_scores_gemma":[0.1008549,0.00172869,0.03283993,0.005686557,0.001060655,0.002308218,0.00174685,0.002433669,0.0002766739],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0022747,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002864206,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.004404077,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.008189625,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9787376,0.01216408,0.004963151,0.001989262,0.00186785,0.00027819],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9293333,0.05885154,0.006316982,0.002218422,0.002937085,0.0003427115],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"meta_analysis","study_design_gemma":"meta_analysis","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001997685,0.00003531173,0.006574477,0.2012725,0.762879,0.00006476957,0.000121806,0.0002849121,0.0001717283,0.0002009991,0.0004211749,0.02597561],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0005285178,0.0002475953,0.005613456,0.02321228,0.9679492,0.0000816848,0.00005628943,0.0001530197,0.0001829224,0.0003577488,0.00159054,0.00002667041],"study_design_candidate":"meta_analysis","study_design_consensus":"meta_analysis","genre_codex":"review","genre_gemma":"review","genre_scores_codex":[0.004754215,0.9935248,0.0006730279,0.0002015995,0.0001378822,0.0001978326,0.0002538748,0.00001796033,0.0002387846],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.2129875,0.7777706,0.005254687,0.0009963883,0.0003713132,0.001282944,0.001017082,0.00005265509,0.0002668241],"genre_candidate":"review","genre_consensus":"review","teacher_disagreement_score":0.03720823,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1967783,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.4349128849670184,"score_gpt":0.5421210028763628,"score_spread":0.1072081179093444,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}