{"id":"W4403284253","doi":"10.1093/afraf/adae020","title":"The production of climate security futures in the West African Sahel","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"African Affairs","topic":"Agricultural risk and resilience","field":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences","cited_by":4,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada","keywords":"Futures contract; Production (economics); Geography; Climatology; Political science; Economics; Geology; Financial economics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.006907105,0.000434714,0.0002647046,0.001960434,0.006571281,0.006209385,0.0005812606,0.001280815,0.005924073],"category_scores_gemma":[0.007877035,0.0003030549,0.0001999389,0.002472064,0.007749217,0.005279172,0.006030329,0.001723062,0.0002846761],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.005514716,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.005442203,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002780139,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.004335872,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9980271,0.001247661,0.00004144436,0.00009185106,0.0002176088,0.0003742721],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9960786,0.00258509,0.0004969588,0.0001873287,0.0002658434,0.0003862605],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"qualitative","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001821696,0.0001275605,0.00912994,0.0004386499,0.00001811057,0.005189256,0.4021534,0.003309746,0.003480083,0.4797395,0.004112306,0.09211928],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00003140785,0.0001898061,0.01521381,0.001195659,0.00001855323,0.0007565619,0.5300736,0.00436056,0.002852173,0.2306523,0.2146002,0.00005544473],"study_design_candidate":"qualitative","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8146154,0.003149596,0.006170172,0.03052353,0.0002162949,0.0001178439,0.000137081,0.00003558424,0.1450346],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9966115,0.0006925547,0.001216398,0.00008189837,0.00001495246,0.00001731231,0.00001407595,0.000005561085,0.001345704],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.006907105,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04001224,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.006930196684440161,"score_gpt":0.2119297132340778,"score_spread":0.2049995165496376,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}