{"id":"W4403662228","doi":"10.48550/arxiv.2409.08914","title":"Contract Structure and Risk Aversion in Longevity Risk Transfers","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"arXiv (Cornell University)","topic":"Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada","keywords":"Longevity; Risk aversion (psychology); Longevity risk; Actuarial science; Economics; Business; Financial economics; Expected utility hypothesis; Medicine; Gerontology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.004617181,0.0003944102,0.0006115242,0.0009730337,0.0007342512,0.002445372,0.0006952192,0.001502488,0.006410284],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01646639,0.000388129,0.0005955129,0.0006672906,0.002695337,0.00358713,0.001674092,0.00166976,0.0002749345],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001608577,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001030286,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001086332,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0006280165,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9985682,0.0007341827,0.00006652969,0.0001532171,0.0002364606,0.000241397],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9883525,0.00716139,0.002783533,0.0004973334,0.0003383901,0.0008669299],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0005397071,0.0004364941,0.03335594,0.00008909783,0.0001283511,0.0003561465,0.001047741,0.1192237,0.003166256,0.816573,0.0006687942,0.02441478],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002056013,0.0004231496,0.02586558,0.00007012302,0.00007892826,0.0003143521,0.001019459,0.2034696,0.0009627744,0.7653099,0.002205704,0.00007475985],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8960016,0.0003433437,0.08341881,0.0008681937,0.00001856973,0.00009075043,0.00008184463,0.00002461834,0.01915224],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.995175,0.0001455712,0.003285993,0.0000335444,0.00001652495,0.00002762186,0.00001994313,0.000004170655,0.001291586],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.006410284,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02441829,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03060560301933772,"score_gpt":0.2075362988210747,"score_spread":0.176930695801737,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}