{"id":"W4403880636","doi":"10.1111/padr.12683","title":"Beyond Stocks and Surges: The Demographic Impact of the Unauthorized Immigrant Population in the United States","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Population and Development Review","topic":"Migration and Labor Dynamics","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":9,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development; National Institute of Child Health and Human Development; National Institute on Aging; Pennsylvania State University","keywords":"Immigration; Census; Population; American Community Survey; Geography; Demographic economics; Demography; Political science; Economics; Sociology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001881885,0.00008956256,0.0001421726,0.00009282971,0.0003190108,0.00008992213,0.00009966439,0.00003750668,0.00003883608],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001190428,0.0000391622,0.00005327868,0.001086325,0.00007766404,0.00009079905,0.00001774786,0.0001009785,5.913691e-7],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00003958336,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00007055714,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.005982057,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01620213,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9986686,0.0004952125,0.0003427475,0.0001167338,0.0002645074,0.0001121986],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9995469,0.0001809719,0.0001008161,0.00009860383,0.00004338823,0.00002933225],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000009851643,0.00003207573,0.7727601,0.000659614,0.00005698952,7.912517e-7,0.060279,0.0001093361,0.00000314022,0.08285395,0.0009765449,0.08225863],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00008350019,0.000007746961,0.9576232,0.0007013459,0.00002911499,0.000001519076,0.001447516,0.001509897,1.756209e-7,0.002064462,0.03644207,0.00008946363],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9695787,0.02467258,0.00008950643,0.004691654,0.0000916953,0.0007656215,0.000005953214,0.00002098631,0.00008326628],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9592853,0.03999712,0.00005151311,0.0004478603,0.00001152981,0.00002221798,0.0001135256,0.000004207171,0.00006672719],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1848631,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.904312,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02295253706860728,"score_gpt":0.3349473212262692,"score_spread":0.3119947841576619,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}