{"id":"W4404239121","doi":"10.1016/bs.aecr.2026.03.001","title":"Conformal Prediction quantifies the uncertainty of Species Distribution Models","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"Advances in ecological research/Advances in Ecological Research","topic":"Species Distribution and Climate Change","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Montfort Hospital","funders":"","keywords":"Conformal map; Distribution (mathematics); Statistical physics; Econometrics; Computer science; Mathematics; Physics; Mathematical analysis","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.004633044,0.0007461779,0.0009247798,0.001414366,0.0007709379,0.002318405,0.001114808,0.0009852246,0.002113781],"category_scores_gemma":[0.03467083,0.0006114822,0.001080119,0.001325644,0.002316468,0.004342811,0.002387534,0.002364569,0.0004083025],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00121458,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006224004,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.004431488,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.003118131,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9981409,0.0007028389,0.0001045937,0.000482482,0.000436177,0.0001329447],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9825112,0.01281242,0.0013355,0.002300246,0.0007788867,0.0002617772],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00006749557,0.00001951847,0.02212165,0.000105355,0.0001292339,0.0001830063,0.0003987951,0.8213026,0.002435806,0.115545,0.001745434,0.03594604],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000005367042,0.00002027114,0.004765343,0.00001782157,0.00001675246,0.000108557,0.00005191689,0.7868685,0.000768473,0.2057627,0.001568242,0.00004595272],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"methods","genre_scores_codex":[0.1543535,0.0005402164,0.8367774,0.0007155748,0.00009242286,0.00002902656,0.0006350934,0.0004836561,0.006372922],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9396615,0.0003548417,0.0582465,0.0001443574,0.00009928721,0.00003771372,0.0005764644,0.0002059784,0.0006734761],"genre_candidate":"methods","genre_consensus":"methods","teacher_disagreement_score":0.004633044,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02450216,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1842157202454132,"score_gpt":0.4404443469710728,"score_spread":0.2562286267256596,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}