{"id":"W4405018328","doi":"10.1029/2024ef004646","title":"Projected Intensification and Expansion of Heat Stress and Related Population Exposure Over Africa Under Future Climates","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Earth s Future","topic":"Climate variability and models","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":8,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Global Affairs Canada; African Institute for Mathematical Sciences; International Development Research Centre; Government of Canada","keywords":"Climatology; Forcing (mathematics); Population; Geography; Heat stress; Extreme heat; Climate change; Environmental science; Physical geography; Land cover; Greenhouse gas; Land use; Atmospheric sciences; Demography; Geology; Ecology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0001379258,0.0001153589,0.0001234194,0.0000416094,0.0000764782,0.00003973174,0.00003920799,0.0001666751,0.0003625916],"category_scores_gemma":[0.000009599917,0.00009018654,0.00002696442,0.0002213665,0.00007130735,0.000261619,0.00006452288,0.0001486132,0.000007386144],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0000196427,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000005426756,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0001096332,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001040742,"domain_scores_codex":[0.999155,0.0000508626,0.0001917624,0.0003134302,0.0001591715,0.0001297835],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9997125,0.00003278688,0.0000316441,0.0001629295,0.00001150433,0.00004862406],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004716153,0.0004536108,0.524768,0.002142536,0.0001973426,0.0000336175,0.0538185,0.008051394,0.3338832,0.02122864,0.003659853,0.05129172],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002738693,0.0001051911,0.9758278,0.0001470351,0.00004356122,0.00001661866,0.001819411,0.01628758,0.0007720687,0.00191142,0.002603212,0.0001922682],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9965263,0.001205639,0.00002939305,0.001140683,0.0002604186,0.0002405686,0.00003635717,0.00007148452,0.0004891492],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9989558,0.0004054305,0.0003165516,0.00003155883,0.00007637742,0.000005630067,0.00008747783,0.00001133393,0.0001098169],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.4510598,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.3970123,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01056296313845862,"score_gpt":0.2241617623100227,"score_spread":0.2135987991715641,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}