{"id":"W4405022902","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.4981101","title":"Pivotality","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Electoral Systems and Political Participation","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Calgary","funders":"","keywords":"Business","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001792365,0.00109197,0.001472991,0.002445702,0.00471417,0.006726904,0.001368396,0.00175948,0.1647123],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01080644,0.0006927513,0.001387566,0.00153536,0.002881847,0.00729074,0.005659109,0.004093593,0.05124786],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001078131,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001451326,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0007221524,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0007737174,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9973215,0.0005385723,0.0001401839,0.001045944,0.000401142,0.0005526945],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9950224,0.001362012,0.0003261466,0.001346118,0.001145976,0.0007973032],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00008894889,0.00002530251,0.0003194122,0.00009412849,0.0000145738,0.0001146253,0.0004118085,0.0001254321,0.0007561536,0.95642,0.02544019,0.01618952],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00005248156,0.000040133,0.0004770334,0.00006848848,0.00002217188,0.0004169378,0.0004804948,0.0007024004,0.00102218,0.8007858,0.1959076,0.00002444204],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.02480772,0.0006576549,0.06354606,0.003597644,0.00154564,0.0002820291,0.002772526,0.0009259317,0.9018647],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.4875135,0.0009069773,0.01833459,0.001504107,0.001189747,0.000542006,0.004039621,0.001550269,0.4844192],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.1647123,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03789211142941605,"score_gpt":0.3746552604232066,"score_spread":0.3367631489937905,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}