{"id":"W4405102625","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.5024951","title":"Rumors and prices","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Financial Markets and Investment Strategies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Toronto Metropolitan University","funders":"","keywords":"Business; Economics; Monetary economics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001759044,0.000316035,0.0005177307,0.001155454,0.0007311396,0.006485147,0.0003529098,0.002184781,0.01402002],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0260804,0.0003997636,0.0002490273,0.001224542,0.00241901,0.00798971,0.0008541857,0.002156722,0.00139801],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0006985332,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000354589,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0005422157,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0003138961,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9990693,0.0004670449,0.00004929129,0.0001254488,0.0002215272,0.00006740687],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9881258,0.00872963,0.001333006,0.0009587646,0.0005923986,0.0002605145],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00006575206,0.00002735141,0.001290067,0.00006751777,0.00002701382,0.0001382265,0.0003488303,0.001230725,0.0001859391,0.9727653,0.005255808,0.01859747],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001090753,0.000007035095,0.000578396,0.00002164281,0.000007754548,0.0001020957,0.00009770714,0.002923031,0.0000694971,0.9915671,0.004608497,0.000006325915],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.3194601,0.03672193,0.1363238,0.07723579,0.002423914,0.00007570229,0.001012757,0.0003267329,0.4264192],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9675556,0.005178134,0.002983645,0.0006009227,0.001351693,0.00002347156,0.0000901706,0.00004102917,0.02217526],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.01402002,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04690164,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01618784425705961,"score_gpt":0.2144890327104757,"score_spread":0.1983011884534161,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}