{"id":"W4405105611","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.5028377","title":"Towards Reliable Rapid Attribution of Extreme Summer High Temperature in China","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Environmental and Agricultural Sciences","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Victoria","funders":"","keywords":"Attribution; China; Environmental science; Climatology; Geography; Psychology; Geology; Social psychology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001222737,0.0006064406,0.0005542276,0.001313515,0.0005027276,0.001170705,0.0007199963,0.0007787948,0.0009449769],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002425249,0.000290565,0.0002913537,0.001553589,0.0002736048,0.0007469612,0.001213021,0.0005280297,0.0007454779],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0005059123,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001278477,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01596352,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01663461,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9995553,0.00009224295,0.00002486495,0.0001607192,0.00009144474,0.00007544332],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.998725,0.0002286152,0.0002414004,0.0002253857,0.0004483198,0.0001311074],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0008443413,0.0001521757,0.656291,0.0004206051,0.0004080908,0.0006708719,0.001105269,0.06737496,0.05476275,0.002413701,0.0105177,0.2050385],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00005366938,0.00006687848,0.7322546,0.00004302605,0.0001102396,0.00006003346,0.000546143,0.2505524,0.007342601,0.004137267,0.004769768,0.00006319403],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9388677,0.0009533703,0.05058907,0.0003534063,0.0002199114,0.00005493947,0.003033589,0.001021834,0.004905957],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9908703,0.0001141432,0.006642352,0.00002740563,0.00007179478,0.00001743181,0.001656311,0.00004907315,0.0005511353],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01596352,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.0317412,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.008234279468262164,"score_gpt":0.2069924190359629,"score_spread":0.1987581395677008,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}