{"id":"W4405218615","doi":"10.53055/icimod.1074","title":"Regional Drought Monitoring and Outlook System: Seasonal outlook November 2024–February 2025","year":2024,"lang":"en","type":"report","venue":"","topic":"Hydrology and Drought Analysis","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"European Commission; International Development Research Centre; United States Agency for International Development; National Aeronautics and Space Administration","keywords":"Evapotranspiration; Preparedness; Environmental science; Precipitation; Climatology; Geography; Meteorology; Ecology; Geology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001897665,0.001399173,0.0006199084,0.001308381,0.0003465957,0.001234422,0.0009114749,0.0008135305,0.03152574],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002487494,0.0003995887,0.0002909193,0.002283421,0.0001134308,0.0009405324,0.0006895685,0.0009226838,0.0324876],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001534083,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.004268534,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.04738613,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.03897202,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9993188,0.0001109693,0.0000595065,0.00005336881,0.0003657148,0.00009153844],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9984043,0.0001070294,0.0001623757,0.00006796445,0.001077573,0.0001807825],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001414564,0.00004034565,0.001389016,0.0001834395,0.00002234171,0.00004176578,0.00001678239,0.0009515451,0.0002660887,0.0007614808,0.9756209,0.02056494],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001385935,0.00007360363,0.02087731,0.0001465715,0.00002962055,0.00004684174,0.00005099542,0.002830959,0.0008188233,0.0008531594,0.9741028,0.00003063539],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"dataset","genre_gemma":"other","genre_scores_codex":[0.003829798,0.000596137,0.002512345,0.001623787,0.001108817,0.0004531879,0.9426378,0.001253959,0.0459842],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.01248322,0.0009682048,0.006133025,0.0005227643,0.0002377964,0.000980905,0.9330484,0.0003217903,0.04530386],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.04738613,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1054641,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0225041679163129,"score_gpt":0.2714611294755239,"score_spread":0.248956961559211,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}